The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sturm Graz 56.5%
Draw 24.5%
Hartberg 19%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.7%
27.2%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
26.2%
21.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sturm Graz's performance.
Hartberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartberg than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
12.5%
25%
Sturm Graz - Hartberg Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Hartberg will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
53. Khudyakov D. (G) 5. Vallci A. 2. Mitchell J. 30. Koller P. 22. Gazibegovic J. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 39. Weinhandl L. 43. Hodl J. 15. Mamageishvili G. 10. Kiteishvili O. 20. Jatta S.
1. Helac A. (G) 27. Schopp K. 18. Wilfinger F. 6. Coulibaly H. 28. Heil J. (C) 23. Kainz T. 4. Markus B. 2. Pazourek L. 22. Hoffmann M. 7. Havel E. 30. Fridrikas L.
Substitutes
47. Aiwu E. 40. Bignetti M. (G) 80. Fosso R. 35. Geyrhofer N. 25. Hierlander S. 11. Kayombo A. 23. Malic A. 77. Malone M. 9. Wilson R.
61. Aziz M. 5. Diarra Y. 11. Fillafer M. 16. Golles J. 8. Halwachs J. 33. Hennig M. 95. Kovacevic D. 21. Maric L. (G) 25. Ojukwu E.
Coaches
Ingolitsch F.
Schmid M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Vallci A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Mamageishvili G. ↓, Malone M. ↑,
60', Weinhandl L. ↓, Fosso R. ↑,
64', Hoffmann M. ↓, Aziz M. ↑,
67', Kainz T. 🟨,
77', Heil J. ↓, Hennig M. ↑,
82', Coulibaly H. 🟨,
82', Gorenc Stankovic J. 🟨,
86', Jatta S. ↓, Wilson R. ↑,
90', Fridrikas L. ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
90', Schopp K. ↓, Halwachs J. ↑,
90', Havel E. ↓, Kovacevic D. ↑,
90+2', Gazibegovic J. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 4.
Sturm is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Hartberg has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Sturm is the team to beat.
There will not play in Sturm: Beganovic B.
(Ankle Injury)
Grgic L.
(Knee Injury)
Lavalee D.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Hartberg: Komposch P.
(Knee Injury)
Spendlhofer L.
(Red Card)
Vincze D.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Sturm: Rozga F.
(Injury)
We predict that Sturm will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sturm won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Sturm won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).
Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga for now
Sturm Graz: 7.79% Hartberg: 0.56%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Sturm Graz
8
4
2
2
10:9
1
14
7
Hartberg
7
2
2
3
10:13
-3
8
Last Results with these Odds
Sturm Graz - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.69%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.