Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 10

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Soyu Stadium (Akita)

Referee: Matsuzawa Y. (Jpn)


	Blaublitz Akita		Fagiano Okayama

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.4	Watch
	2.65	2.8	2.55
	2.8	2.9	2.65	Watch
	3	3.01	2.67
	3.04	3.01	2.65
	2.7	2.9	2.6
	2.81	2.98	2.54	Watch
	2.85	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 (2.83)	2.94 ↓ (3.26)	2.58 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blaublitz Akita
32.7%

Draw
31.5%

Fagiano Okayama
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

28.2%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

28.5%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blaublitz Akita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blaublitz Akita than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Blaublitz Akita - Fagiano Okayama Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kakoi K. (G) 16. Muramatsu K. 3. Koyanagi T. 5. Kawano T. 4. Hachisuka K. 8. Hata J. 6. Morooka H. 80. Onohara K. 29. Sato D. 11. Kajiya Y. 10. Komatsu R.	49. Brodersen S. (G) 4. Abe K. 18. Tagami D. 15. Motoyama H. 88. Yanagi T. 24. Fujita I. 44. Semba T. 17. Sueyoshi R. 29. Saito K. 8. Gabriel Xavier 9. Gleyson
Substitutes
40. Aoki S. 25. Fujiyama T. 17. Handa K. 88. Kaga K. 9. Nakamura R. 14. Oishi R. 1. Yamada G. (G)	19. Iwabuchi H. 21. Kawakami K. (G) 27. Kimura T. 99. Lucao 11. Ota R. 6. Wakasa Y. 5. Yanagi Y.
Coaches
Yoshida K.	Kiyama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Morooka H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Semba T. ↓, Yanagi Y. ↑,
59', Saito K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
67', Gabriel Xavier ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
67', Sueyoshi R. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
69', Hata J. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
77', Kajiya Y. ↓, Aoki S. ↑,
77', Komatsu R. ↓, Handa K. ↑,
79', Gleyson ↓, Ota R. ↑,
86', Sato D. ↓, Oishi R. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blaublitz Akita won 2.

Blaublitz Akita is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Okayama is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Okayama will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Blaublitz Akita won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Blaublitz Akita won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blaublitz Akita
Japan J2 League
07.04.24	Oita Trinita - Blaublitz Akita	1:3 ✺
03.04.24	Blaublitz Akita - Mito HollyHock	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Blaublitz Akita - Iwaki	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 ✺
20.03.24	Blaublitz Akita - Tochigi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWLW
- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
07.04.24	Ehime - Fagiano Okayama	2:2 ✺
03.04.24	Fagiano Okayama - Yokohama FC	1:3 ✺
30.03.24	Oita Trinita - Fagiano Okayama	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
20.03.24	Fagiano Okayama - Mito HollyHock	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
05.11.23	Fagiano Okayama - Blaublitz Akita	0:2
29.04.23	Blaublitz Akita - Fagiano Okayama	0:1
16.10.22	Fagiano Okayama - Blaublitz Akita	1:2
27.04.22	Blaublitz Akita - Fagiano Okayama	0:1
26.09.21	Fagiano Okayama - Blaublitz Akita	1:1
01.05.21	Blaublitz Akita - Fagiano Okayama	0:1

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