Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 9

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Ningineer Stadium (Matsuyama)

Referee: Imamura Y. (Jpn)


	Ehime		Fagiano Okayama

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.6	3.2	2.05	Watch
	4.07	3.25	2.09
	4.07	3.21	2.07
	3.4	3.25	1.95
	3.7	3.32	1.97	Watch
	3.65	3.2	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.24)	3.23 ↓ (3.23)	2.03 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ehime
25.2%

Draw
28.8%

Fagiano Okayama
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

28.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ehime has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Ehime - Fagiano Okayama Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ehime will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Okayama will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Tsuji S. (G) 19. Ozaki Y. 37. Morishita R. 33. Ogawa S. 5. Maeno T. 8. Fukazawa Y. 14. Tanimoto S. 13. Kubota R. 25. Ishiura T. 17. Motegi S. 10. Matsuda R.	49. Brodersen S. (G) 15. Motoyama H. 5. Yanagi Y. 18. Tagami D. 88. Yanagi T. 24. Fujita I. 14. Tabei R. 17. Sueyoshi R. 11. Ota R. 27. Kimura T. 9. Gleyson
Substitutes
21. Bak Keon-Woo 9. Duncan B. 11. Fujihara Y. 18. Kikuchi S. 24. Sato R. 6. Tanioka M. 1. Tokushige K. (G)	4. Abe K. 8. Gabriel Xavier 13. Kanayama J. (G) 99. Lucao 29. Saito K. 44. Semba T. 25. Yoshio K.
Coaches
Ishimaru K.	Kiyama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Matsuda R. ⚽, Tanimoto S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kimura T. ↓, Gabriel Xavier ↑,
46', Yanagi Y. 🟨,
55', Ota R. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
62', Motegi S. ↓, Bak Keon-Woo ↑,
62', Tanimoto S. ↓, Kikuchi S. ↑,
64', Tabei R. ↓, Yoshio K. ↑,
64', Tagami D. ↓, Semba T. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Fukazawa Y. (Own goal),
70', 2 - 1, Ogawa S. ⚽, Fukazawa Y. (A),
72', Bak Keon-Woo 🟥,
74', Ishiura T. ↓, Tanioka M. ↑,
76', Yoshio K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
76', Gleyson 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, Saito K. ⚽, Semba T. (A),
90+2', Matsuda R. ↓, Duncan B. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ehime won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Okayama will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Ehime won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Ehime won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ehime FC
Japan J2 League
03.04.24	Vegalta Sendai - Ehime	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Ehime - Fujieda MYFC	3:0 ✺
24.03.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Ehime	1:1 ✺
20.03.24	Ehime - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ehime	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WWTLW
- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
03.04.24	Fagiano Okayama - Yokohama FC	1:3 ✺
30.03.24	Oita Trinita - Fagiano Okayama	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
20.03.24	Fagiano Okayama - Mito HollyHock	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Fujieda MYFC - Fagiano Okayama	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
05.09.21	Fagiano Okayama - Ehime	0:0
11.04.21	Ehime - Fagiano Okayama	2:2
30.09.20	Fagiano Okayama - Ehime	0:1
15.07.20	Ehime - Fagiano Okayama	0:1
04.08.19	Ehime - Fagiano Okayama	2:0
01.06.19	Fagiano Okayama - Ehime	1:0
21.07.18	Ehime - Fagiano Okayama	2:0

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