The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Giravanz Kitakyushu 17.9%
Draw 23.5%
Kagoshima United 58.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.4%
26.4%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.8%
25.6%
52.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kagoshima United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kagoshima United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kagoshima United Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Kagoshima United will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Otani K. (G) 30. Fukumori K. 28. Yokokubo K. 3. Kamihashi R. 20. Yasumitsu S. 66. Takahashi D. 18. Hiramatsu S. 51. Sakashita Y. 8. Yoshinaga M. 37. Yoshida K. 11. Koh S.
31. Sakata D. (G) 35. Egawa G. 4. Hirose K. 36. Ikeda J. 44. Aoki Y. 7. Tanaka W. 14. Yoshio K. 8. Fujimura K. 2. Saga R. 9. Arita R. 18. Kawamura K.
Substitutes
27. Hara K. 4. Hasegawa K. 7. Hirahara R. 6. Hoshi K. 14. Izawa H. 10. Nagai R. 5. Narasaka T. 52. Nishimura M. 41. Sugimoto M. (G)
20. Endo M. 11. Fukuda M. 19. Inaba S. 99. Juanma Delgado 21. Kawakami K. (G) 27. Kawashima K. 16. Muramatsu K. 22. Takahashi A. 5. Yamada Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Hirose K. ↓, Muramatsu K. ↑,
31', Muramatsu K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Yoshinaga M. ↓, Hara K. ↑,
56', Kawamura K. ↓, Takahashi A. ↑,
56', Tanaka W. ↓, Endo M. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Yasumitsu S. ⚽, Yoshida K. (A),
68', Arita R. ↓, Juanma Delgado ↑,
68', Muramatsu K. ↓, Fukuda M. ↑,
76', Yoshida K. ↓, Nagai R. ↑,
76', Koh S. ↓, Nishimura M. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Juanma Delgado ⚽,
90+2', Sakashita Y. ↓, Izawa H. ↑,
90+2', Fukumori K. ↓, Hirahara R. ↑,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 15th and 1st in the Promotion ~ J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Giravanz won 0.
Giravanz has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Kagoshima United shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
In this matchup, Kagoshima United is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Giravanz has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:15 (averaging 0.6:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Giravanz against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:9 goals (averaging 1:2.3 per game).