Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (Lanús)

Referee: Amiconi B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Lanús		Newells Old Boys

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	5.75	Watch
	1.73	3.4	5
	1.68	3.5	5.35	Watch
	1.71	3.62	5.65
	1.00	17.74	100.00	Watch
	1.67	3.3	5
	1.68	3.44	5.52	Watch
	1.6	3.55	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.56)	5.24 ↑ (3.45)	17.28 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús
71.7%

Draw
21.7%

Newells Old Boys
6.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

26.5%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

25.5%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lanús's performance.

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newells Old Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanús that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newells Old Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Lanús - Newells Old Boys Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Lanús (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lanús (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Losada N. (G) 33. Guidara T. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 13. Canale Dominguez J. 6. Marcich S. 30. Cardozo A. 5. Pena Biafore F. 11. Salvio E. 23. Carrera R. 25. Aquino D. 9. Bou W.	1. Barlasina W. (G) 6. Ortega M. 15. Salcedo S. 23. Goitea N. 3. Luciano M. 26. Herrera R. 5. Regiardo L. (C) 8. Sotelo D. 18. Mazzantti W. 99. Ramirez I. 27. Herrera L.
Substitutes
38. Acosta B. 77. Besozzi L. 20. Cabrera B. 35. De Jesus R. 37. De Martis T. 17. Medina A. 3. Morgantini N. 4. Perez G. 1. Petroli F. (G) 2. Romero L. 19. Valois Y. 8. Watson F. N.	10. Acuna V. 25. Cabrera B. 29. Esponda M. 17. Garcia F. 19. Gomez J. 14. Mendez A. 33. Nunez W. 30. Reinatti J. (G) 24. Risso G. 28. Russo J. 22. Salomon O. 36. Scarpeccio F.
Coaches
Pellegrino M.	Kudelka F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Bou W. (Penalty Awarded),
18', Pena Biafore F. ↓, Medina A. ↑,
35', Carrera R. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Aquino D. ⚽, Cardozo A. (A),
40', 3 - 0, Aquino D. ⚽, Carrera R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Herrera R. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
46', Herrera L. ↓, Cabrera B. ↑,
54', 4 - 0, Aquino D. ⚽, Carrera R. (A),
55', 5 - 0, Salvio E. ⚽, Aquino D. (A),
59', Mazzantti W. ↓, Nunez W. ↑,
59', Sotelo D. ↓, Esponda M. ↑,
62', Salvio E. ↓, Besozzi L. ↑,
62', Aquino D. ↓, Cabrera B. ↑,
77', Luciano M. ↓, Russo J. ↑,
77', Bou W. ↓, Valois Y. ↑,
77', Carrera R. ↓, Watson F. N. ↑,
88', Guidara T. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 1.

Lanús is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Newells Old Boys has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lanús is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Lanús: Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Marcelino Moreno (Inactive) Sepulveda M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Arias G. (Broken calfbone) Coccaro M. (Muscle Injury) Montero A. (Knee Injury) Mosquera J. (Inactive) Salomon O. (Inactive) Sotelo D. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lanús
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.03.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Lanús	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Lanús - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Defensa y Justicia - Lanús	1:1 ✺
Recopa Sudamericana
26.02.26	Flamengo - Lanús	2:3 ET ✺
19.02.26	Lanús - Flamengo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.3 WLTWW
- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.03.26	Newells Old Boys - Platense	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Newells Old Boys - Rosario Central	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Newells Old Boys - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Banfield - Newells Old Boys	3:0 ✺
16.02.26	Deportivo Riestra - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.10.24	Newells Old Boys - Lanús	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.01.24	Lanús - Newells Old Boys	0:2
26.08.23	Newells Old Boys - Lanús	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.05.23	Lanús - Newells Old Boys	1:0
17.08.22	Newells Old Boys - Lanús	2:0
20.09.21	Lanús - Newells Old Boys	1:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.04.21	Lanús - Newells Old Boys	1:3

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