Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 46

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Blyth Spartans		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.65
	4.5	3.75	1.7
	4.55	3.85	1.74
	4.55	3.68	1.75
	2.62	3.5	2.25
	4.43	3.77	1.7
	4.5	3.75	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (2.7)	3.7 ↑ (3.57)	1.78 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blyth Spartans
22.3%

Draw
25.3%

Brackley Town
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

25.9%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

25%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blyth Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blyth Spartans's form might have worsened.

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brackley Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blyth Spartans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brackley Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Blyth Spartans - Brackley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
8', 0 - 1, Roberts M. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Roberts M. ⚽,
24', 0 - 3, Newton D. ⚽,
31', 0 - 4, Newton D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 1 - 4, Deverdics N. (Pen),
76', 1 - 5, Turner D. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blyth won 1.

Blyth has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brackley in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Brackley is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Blyth won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Blyth won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blyth Spartans
English National League North
13.04.24	Scunthorpe United - Blyth Spartans	5:1 ✺
06.04.24	Blyth Spartans - Rushall Olympic	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Chorley - Blyth Spartans	2:0 ✺
29.03.24	Blyth Spartans - Curzon Ashton	2:3 ✺
23.03.24	Peterborough Sports - Blyth Spartans	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- Brackley Town
English National League North
13.04.24	Brackley Town - Chester	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	Boston United - Brackley Town	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Brackley Town - Tamworth	3:0 ✺
29.03.24	Gloucester City - Brackley Town	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Brackley Town - Alfreton Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
11.11.23	Brackley Town - Blyth Spartans	1:1
18.03.23	Brackley Town - Blyth Spartans	1:1
26.11.22	Blyth Spartans - Brackley Town	1:1
30.04.22	Brackley Town - Blyth Spartans	0:1
04.09.21	Blyth Spartans - Brackley Town	0:0
12.12.20	Brackley Town - Blyth Spartans	2:1
07.03.20	Brackley Town - Blyth Spartans	5:2

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