Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 42

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday


	Gloucester City		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.66
	4.5	3.75	1.7	Watch
	4.73	3.73	1.7
	4.73	3.73	1.71
	5	3.9	1.55
	4.69	3.75	1.67
	4.3	3.7	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↓ (5.04)	3.72 ↓ (3.98)	1.67 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
20%

Draw
24.7%

Brackley Town
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

23.3%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

23.5%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Brackley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gloucester City - Brackley Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Brackley Town will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Pinchard H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 1 - 1, Carline G. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 0.

Recent matches Gloucester is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brackley in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Brackley is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 13-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloucester won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
23.03.24	Spennymoor Town - Gloucester City	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Warrington Town - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
12.03.24	Gloucester City - Tamworth	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Gloucester City - Boston United	3:7 ✺
24.02.24	Gloucester City - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWLLW
- Brackley Town
English National League North
23.03.24	Brackley Town - Alfreton Town	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Brackley Town - Hereford	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Rushall Olympic - Brackley Town	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	South Shields - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Brackley Town - Farsley	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
14.11.23	Brackley Town - Gloucester City	2:0
03.05.23	Brackley Town - Gloucester City	3:2 penalties
28.01.23	Brackley Town - Gloucester City	4:0
27.08.22	Gloucester City - Brackley Town	0:1
05.02.22	Gloucester City - Brackley Town	0:1
30.10.21	Brackley Town - Gloucester City	1:0
28.12.20	Brackley Town - Gloucester City	3:2

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