Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 45

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Attis Arena (Scunthorpe)


	Scunthorpe United		Blyth Spartans

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.75	10.5
	1.2	6	13
	1.22	5.92	11.8
	1.23	5.92	11.8
	1.19	6.16	11.5
	1.23	5.6	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.75)	5.89 ↑ (3.89)	11.23 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scunthorpe United
76.1%

Draw
15.7%

Blyth Spartans
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

23.7%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

23.1%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scunthorpe United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Scunthorpe United's performance.

Blyth Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blyth Spartans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (-21.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Scunthorpe United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blyth Spartans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Scunthorpe United - Blyth Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Kouogun M. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Corbett K. ⚽,
41', 3 - 0, Whitehall D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 4 - 0, Whitehall D. (Pen),
79', 4 - 1, Deverdics N. (Pen),
90+2', 5 - 1, Beestin A. ⚽,

Preview

Scunthorpe is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Blyth is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Scunthorpe is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Scunthorpe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scunthorpe United
English National League North
06.04.24	Scunthorpe United - Hereford	4:1 ✺
01.04.24	Southport - Scunthorpe United	0:1 ✺
29.03.24	Scunthorpe United - King`s Lynn Town	0:0 ✺
26.03.24	Spennymoor Town - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Warrington Town - Scunthorpe United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTLW
- Blyth Spartans
English National League North
06.04.24	Blyth Spartans - Rushall Olympic	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Chorley - Blyth Spartans	2:0 ✺
29.03.24	Blyth Spartans - Curzon Ashton	2:3 ✺
23.03.24	Peterborough Sports - Blyth Spartans	2:2 ✺
19.03.24	Blyth Spartans - Buxton	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
06.02.24	Blyth Spartans - Scunthorpe United	1:1

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