Match Info

Date: 29 February 2020, Saturday


	Boavista		Gil Vicente

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	3	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.95
	2.45	3	3.05
	2.53	2.91	2.93
	2.62	3.07	3.01
	2.55	3	3
	2.62	2.97	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.26)	2.99 ↓ (3.02)	2.99 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boavista
37%

Draw
31.5%

Gil Vicente
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

31.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

21.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boavista that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gil Vicente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boavista - Gil Vicente Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista SC
Liga Portugal
23.02.20	Sporting Lisbon - Boavista	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
22.02.20	Boavista - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
19.02.20	Boavista - Chapecoense	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
16.02.20	Boavista - Volta Redonda	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.02.20	Boavista - BSAD	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal
24.02.20	Gil Vicente - Benfica	0:1 ✺
14.02.20	Setúbal - Gil Vicente	1:2 ✺
08.02.20	Braga - Gil Vicente	2:2 ✺
02.02.20	Gil Vicente - Moreirense	1:5 ✺
28.01.20	Porto - Gil Vicente	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
22.09.19	Gil Vicente - Boavista	0:0
28.02.15	Gil Vicente - Boavista	1:1
28.09.14	Boavista - Gil Vicente	3:2

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