Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Bessa Século XXI (Porto)

Referee: Godinho L. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Boavista		Marítimo

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.83	3.4	4.2
	1.82	3.3	4.6
	1.83	3.45	4.3
	1.81	3.55	5.09
	1.85	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.4	Watch
	1.81	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.91)	3.45 ↑ (3.43)	4.52 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Boavista
51.9%

Draw
27.3%

Marítimo
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27.2%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

26.9%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.7%	14.3%	20%

Boavista - Marítimo Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Boavista will win (votes: 23 - 65.7%). Marítimo will win (votes: 7 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boavista: 50% – 81.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Boavista has the most likely position - 7 (10.1%), has project points - 46, has currently - 15, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Marítimo has the most likely position - 18 (36.04%), has project points - 26, has currently - 0, has a good chance of relegated (64%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 42, small importance 26, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Boavista is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marítimo has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Boavista is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Boavista won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista FC
Liga Portugal
02.10.22	Famalicão - Boavista	4:0 ✺
17.09.22	Boavista - Sporting Lisbon	2:1 ✺
11.09.22	Arouca - Boavista	1:2 ✺
05.09.22	Boavista - Paços de Ferreira	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Boavista - Benfica	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LWWWL
- CS Marítimo
Liga Portugal
03.10.22	Marítimo - Casa Pia	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	Benfica - Marítimo	5:0 ✺
11.09.22	Marítimo - Gil Vicente	1:2 ✺
04.09.22	Santa Clara - Marítimo	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Marítimo - Portimonense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
16.04.22	Marítimo - Boavista	4:0
04.12.21	Boavista - Marítimo	1:1
Portuguese League Cup
25.07.21	Marítimo - Boavista	0:1
Liga Portugal
25.04.21	Boavista - Marítimo	0:1

Upcoming Matches