Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 1

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Marítimo (Funchal)

Referee: Guelho S. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Portugal	Sport TV1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Marítimo		Casa Pia

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.3	4.1	Watch
	2.20	3.10	3.30
	1.92	3.2	4.15	Watch
	2	3.34	4.41
	2.02	3.25	4
	1.92	3.3	4.35	Watch
	1.98	3.43	4.26	Watch
	1.96	3.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.58)	3.27 ↓ (3.35)	4.07 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo
47.8%

Draw
29%

Casa Pia
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.9%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marítimo's performance.

Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casa Pia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Marítimo - Casa Pia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Casa Pia will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marítimo: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pastor A. (G) 2. Igor Juliao 4. Fernandes R. 44. Correia R. (C) 23. Henrique P. 14. Raphael Guzzo 6. Andrade R. 18. Danilovic V. 11. Bouzaidi S. 17. Butzke A. 10. Tejon M.	31. Gomes A. (G) 18. Geraldes A. (C) 4. Goulart J. 43. Sousa D. 5. Conte A. 24. Perez S. 80. Ofori L. 8. Gabi 13. Osundina K. 9. Araujo H. 10. Rochinha
Substitutes
66. Ayuma I. 27. Bamba S. 68. Batista N. 90. Boakye M. 77. Pedro Teixeira (G) 25. Santiago Perez J. 16. Silva F. 22. Szalai G. 1. Tabuaco G. (G) 15. Tavares T.	22. Azevedo D. (G) 11. Blanco R. 16. Clua S. 59. Dafe A. 20. Jatta A. 27. Kaique Rocha 3. Kaly 95. Mandic I. (G) 99. Mendes C. 19. Prieto K. 75. Rosas P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Sousa D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, Raphael Guzzo ⚽, Tejon M. (A),
66', Conte A. ↓, Rosas P. ↑,
66', Osundina K. ↓, Prieto K. ↑,
78', Gabi ↓, Jatta A. ↑,
80', Perez S. ↓, Clua S. ↑,
81', Goulart J. ↓, Kaly ↑,
82', Bouzaidi S. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
86', Jatta A. 🟨,
87', Butzke A. ↓, Boakye M. ↑,
87', Tejon M. ↓, Tavares T. ↑,
90+1', Raphael Guzzo 🟨,
90+1', Danilovic V. ↓, Santiago Perez J. ↑,
90+1', Raphael Guzzo ↓, Szalai G. ↑,
90+6', Tavares T. 🟨,

Preview

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Casa Pia: Batista R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Casa Pia: Gomes A. (Lacking Match Fitness)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Marítimo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Maritimo	8	2	2	4	9:14	-5	8
17	Casa Pia	8	1	1	6	3:17	-14	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Marítimo
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Marítimo - Nacional	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
15.05.26	Marítimo - Chaves	1:3 ✺
09.05.26	Penafiel - Marítimo	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Marítimo - Leixões	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Benfica B - Marítimo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLWW
- Casa Pia
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Leixões - Casa Pia	6:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
28.05.26	Casa Pia - Torreense	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Torreense - Casa Pia	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Casa Pia - Rio Ave	1:1 ✺
11.05.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
19.03.23	Casa Pia - Marítimo	2:0
03.10.22	Marítimo - Casa Pia	1:2

Marítimo - Casa Pia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide