Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 31

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Bessa Século XXI (Porto)

Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	RTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, Sport TV Africa, ZAP
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Sport 2
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Lithuania	Sport 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	RTPi, Sport TV1
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	TV Start
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
Serbia	Arena Sport 7, SportKlub 1
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, Triller TV+


	Boavista		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	15	8	1.14	Watch
	15	8.25	1.15
	19	7.5	1.14	Watch
	19.2	8.36	1.15
	17.66	7.82	1.16	Watch
	17	7	1.14	Watch
	18.5	8.4	1.13	Watch
	19	7.5	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	17.55 ↑ (11.34)	7.85 ↑ (5.75)	1.14 ↓ (1.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boavista
5.4%

Draw
12%

Sporting Lisbon
82.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.3%

16.4%

75.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10.3%	89.7%

Boavista - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Sporting (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.25 - Boavista (1.85) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting Lisbon will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Boavista (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Sporting (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Vaclik T. (G) 27. Kakay O. 26. Abascal R. (C) 13. Fogning S. 20. Ferreira F. 8. van Ginkel M. 14. Kone M. 10. Reisinho M. 7. Agra S. 21. Diaby A. 16. Silva J.	24. Silva R. (G) 72. Quaresma E. 26. Diomande O. 25. Inacio G. 21. Catamo G. 6. Debast Z. 42. Hjulmand M. (C) 20. Araujo M. 17. Trincao 9. Gyokeres V. 8. Goncalves P.
Substitutes
11. Ariyibi G. 71. Barros J. 9. Bozenik R. 1. Cesar (G) 25. Dabo A. 15. Gomes P. 5. Lystsov V. 35. Miguel G. 19. Vitoria S.	30. Biel 47. Esgaio R. 22. Fresneda I. 19. Harder C. 1. Israel F. (G) 2. Matheus Reis 5. Morita H. 57. Quenda G. 3. St. Juste J.
Coaches
Couto J.	Borges R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Gyokeres V. ⚽, Araujo M. (A),
42', van Ginkel M. 🟨,
44', Goncalves P. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Gyokeres V. ⚽, Trincao (A),
45+3', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Kone M. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
46', van Ginkel M. ↓, Ariyibi G. ↑,
46', Goncalves P. ↓, Quenda G. ↑,
49', Reisinho M. 🟨,
50', 0 - 3, Gyokeres V. ⚽, Trincao (A),
57', 0 - 4, Araujo M. ⚽,
59', Araujo M. 🟨,
68', Hjulmand M. ↓, Morita H. ↑,
68', Araujo M. ↓, Matheus Reis ↑,
71', Ferreira F. ↓, Dabo A. ↑,
71', Agra S. ↓, Gomes P. ↑,
79', Catamo G. ↓, Harder C. ↑,
79', Bozenik R. 🟨,
88', Diomande O. 🟨,
90', Diomande O. ↓, St. Juste J. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 5, Gyokeres V. ⚽, Harder C. (A),

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boavista won 1.

Recent matches Boavista is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sporting in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Boavista could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sporting is certain favorite.

There will not play in Boavista: Joao Goncalves (Knee Injury) Llorente D. (Inactive) Machado T. (Inactive) Perez S. (Yellow Cards) Reisinho M. (Yellow Cards) Ribeiro M. (Knee Injury) Silva T. (Injury)

There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Morita H. (Muscle Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury) Simoes J. (Broken Leg)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Boavista won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 5:23 (average 0.6:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista FC
Liga Portugal
18.04.25	Farense - Boavista	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Boavista - Nacional	0:1 ✺
07.04.25	Rio Ave - Boavista	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Boavista - Gil Vicente	1:3 ✺
16.03.25	Moreirense - Boavista	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLWLL
- Sporting Lisbon
Taça de Portugal
22.04.25	Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
18.04.25	Sporting Lisbon - Moreirense	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Santa Clara - Sporting Lisbon	0:1 ✺
07.04.25	Sporting Lisbon - Braga	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
03.04.25	Sporting Lisbon - Rio Ave	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
14.12.24	Sporting Lisbon - Boavista	3:2
17.03.24	Sporting Lisbon - Boavista	6:1
30.10.23	Boavista - Sporting Lisbon	0:2
12.03.23	Sporting Lisbon - Boavista	3:0
17.09.22	Boavista - Sporting Lisbon	2:1
25.04.22	Boavista - Sporting Lisbon	0:3
11.12.21	Sporting Lisbon - Boavista	2:0

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