Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Rio - Semi-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Elcyr Resende de Mendonca (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Nascimento J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Russia	Viju+ Sport


	Boavista		Sampaio Corrêa FE

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.4	4
	2	3.2	3.85	Watch
	2.02	3.25	4.35
	1.95	3.07	4	Watch
	2.02	3.36	3.61	Watch
	2	3.2	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.91)	3.25 ↓ (3.37)	3.94 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Boavista
47.4%

Draw
28.9%

Sampaio Corrêa FE
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27.7%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

28.4%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Sampaio Corrêa FE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Boavista - Sampaio Corrêa FE Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Boavista will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diego Loureiro (G) 7. Abner Vinicius 4. Anderson Conceicao (C) 23. Ben-Hur 11. Fellipe Resende 32. Marcos Paulo 22. Martha 6. Matheus Mascarenhas 3. Sheldon 8. Ze Mateus 18. Ze Vitor	1. Ze Carlos (G) 8. Alexandre Souza 11. Cruz Manhaes O. 3. Daniel Nunes 9. Elias (C) 23. Guilherme 10. Luan Gama 2. Lucas Carvalho 24. Lucas Marreta 7. Max 25. Pablo
Coaches
Roberto Fonseca	Sampaio A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Martha 🟨,
17', Elias 🟨,
17', Anderson Conceicao 🟨,
25', Ze Mateus 🟨,
40', Alexandre Souza 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', 🟨,
63', Fellipe Resende ↓, Matheus Alessandro ↑,
74', Ze Mateus ↓, Victor Yan ↑,
74', Marcos Paulo ↓, Robinho ↑,
77', Matheus Alessandro 🟨,
84', Abner Vinicius ↓, Vitor Ricardo ↑,
84', Ben-Hur ↓, Gabriel Conceicao ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca (Taca Rio: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Boavista is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sampaio Corrêa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Boavista is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Boavista won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista SC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
22.02.25	Boavista - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
19.02.25	Boavista - CS Alagoano	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
15.02.25	Boavista - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Boavista - Portuguesa RJ	2:2 ✺
05.02.25	Bangu - Boavista	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLTTT
- Sampaio Corrêa FE
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
22.02.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Portuguesa RJ	3:1 ✺
16.02.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Volta Redonda	1:3 ✺
10.02.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
06.02.25	Madureira - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Bangu	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
23.01.25	Boavista - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:1
25.02.24	Boavista - Sampaio Corrêa FE	3:2

Boavista - Sampaio Corrêa FE: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide