Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Dellagiovanna (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Tello F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Max, TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Chile	Disney+
China	K-Ball
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Sport Italia, Sportitalia Plus
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Tigre		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.9	2.3	Watch
	3.4	2.87	2.3
	3.2	2.82	2.52	Watch
	3.35	2.85	2.63
	3.24	2.85	2.56	Watch
	3.12	3.02	2.5	Watch
	3.2	2.82	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (3.51)	2.88 ↓ (3.03)	2.48 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigre
28.7%

Draw
33%

Boca Juniors
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

31.1%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

30.4%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tigre - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Tigre (1.92) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigre (votes: 1 - 25%). Boca Juniors (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zenobio F. T. (G) 25. Moreno V. 2. Laso J. 30. Paz N. (C) 6. Sosa D. 47. Saralegui J. 16. Scipioni L. 27. Gonzalez S. 20. Fertoli H. 33. Cabrera E. 7. Ramirez E.	25. Marchesin A. (G) 17. Advincula L. 5. Battaglia R. 6. Rojo M. (C) 23. Blanco L. 30. Belmonte T. 43. Delgado M. 8. Carlos Palacios 22. Zenon K. 16. Miguel Merentiel 20. Velasco A.
Substitutes
5. Arias R. 18. Armoa B. 40. Barrionuevo A. 28. Benitez R. 22. Lopez J. 21. Medina S. 23. Pineiro G. 29. Russo I. 11. Sarmiento D. 24. Sosa A. (G) 31. Tevez F. 77. Zalazar M.	33. Aguirre B. 42. Blondel L. 12. Brey L. (G) 32. Costa A. 51. Dalmasso S. 40. Di Lollo L. 11. Janson L. 2. Lema C. 14. Miramon I. 3. Saracchi M. 35. Simoni V. 7. Zeballos E.
Coaches
Dabove D.	Herron M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', Moreno V. 🟨,
14', Scipioni L. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Zenon K. ⚽, Miguel Merentiel (A),
25', Paz N. 🟨,
25', Velasco A. 🟨,
30', Battaglia R. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Scipioni L. ⚽, Laso J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Cabrera E. ↓, Medina S. ↑,
65', Saralegui J. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
73', Ramirez E. ↓, Russo I. ↑,
73', Velasco A. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
74', Fertoli H. ↓, Armoa B. ↑,
74', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Janson L. ↑,
79', Belmonte T. ↓, Dalmasso S. ↑,
90+2', Delgado M. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Tigre is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Boca Juniors is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigre won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Tigre: Besozzi L. (Inactive) Garay M. (Knee Injury) Protti I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Romero D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Zalazar M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Knee Injury) Cavani E. (Muscle Injury) Figal J. (Ankle Injury) Rey Domenech C. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Tigre: Banegas N. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigre won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tigre won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Boca Juniors - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.14%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Tigre	0:0 ✺
22.04.25	Tigre - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Barracas Central - Tigre	1:0 ✺
07.04.25	Tigre - Newells Old Boys	0:2 ✺
28.03.25	Defensa y Justicia - Tigre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTLLW
- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.04.25	River Plate - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Belgrano - Boca Juniors	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Boca Juniors - Barracas Central	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.10.24	Tigre - Boca Juniors	3:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
05.02.24	Tigre - Boca Juniors	0:2
03.09.23	Boca Juniors - Tigre	0:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.05.23	Boca Juniors - Tigre	1:0
15.06.22	Boca Juniors - Tigre	5:3
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
22.05.22	Boca Juniors - Tigre	3:0
07.05.22	Tigre - Boca Juniors	0:2

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