Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 25

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 2
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Disney+, Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Boca Juniors		Gimnasia La Plata

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	5	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4.75
	1.8	3.3	4.85	Watch
	1.8	3.33	5.29
	1.8	3.38	5.07	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.2
	1.79	3.52	4.77	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.85)	3.36 ↓ (3.41)	4.85 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
52.4%

Draw
28.1%

Gimnasia La Plata
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

27.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

27.1%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Boca Juniors - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Brey L. (G) 24. Barinaga J. 4. Figal J. 6. Rojo M. 3. Saracchi M. 22. Zenon K. 30. Belmonte T. 8. Fernandez G. 7. Zeballos E. 9. Gimenez M. 10. Cavani E. (C)	13. Ledesma M. (G) 15. Pintado J. 20. Cabral Y. 4. Morales L. (C) 21. Martinez E. 18. Colazo N. 19. Castro L. 16. Max A. 34. Mamut L. 30. Castillo R. 31. Primante S.
Substitutes
17. Advincula L. 33. Aguirre B. 23. Blanco L. 43. Delgado M. 40. Di Lollo L. 18. Fabra F. 11. Janson L. 19. Martegani A. 34. Mendia M. 21. Miramon I. 20. Ramirez J. 1. Romero S. (G)	17. Blasi B. 14. Bolivar A. 28. Corbalan F. 22. Esquivel J. 6. Fernandez M. 3. Gallo R. 36. Garayalde N. 23. Insfran N. (G) 38. Panaro M. 26. Rodriguez V. 33. Troyansky F. 11. Zalazar D.
Coaches
Gago F.	Mendez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Gimenez M. ⚽,
32', Colazo N. 🟨,
43', Mamut L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Max A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
61', Colazo N. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
61', Primante S. ↓, Zalazar D. ↑,
61', Belmonte T. ↓, Delgado M. ↑,
61', Martinez E. ↓, Panaro M. ↑,
66', Zalazar D. 🟨,
71', Fernandez M. 🟨,
75', Zenon K. ↓, Janson L. ↑,
78', Delgado M. 🟨,
78', Mamut L. ↓, Esquivel J. ↑,
81', Rojo M. 🟨,
84', Gimenez M. ↓, Miramon I. ↑,
84', Zeballos E. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
84', Saracchi M. ↓, Fabra F. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 3.

Boca Juniors is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gimnasia La Plata is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boca Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Boca Juniors is a favorite.

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Anselmino A. (Hamstring Injury) Blondel L. (Injury) Lema C. (Injury) Miguel Merentiel (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Gonzalez G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mammini I. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20:15 (average 1.4:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 0.9:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Boca Juniors - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.89%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Copa Argentina
27.11.24	Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	3:4 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.11.24	Huracán Buenos Aires - Boca Juniors	0:0 ✺
20.11.24	Boca Juniors - Unión Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Boca Juniors	0:2 ✺
06.11.24	Boca Juniors - Godoy Cruz	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWWW
- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.11.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
21.11.24	Independiente - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Newells Old Boys	1:0 ✺
05.11.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Central Córdoba	0:0 ✺
01.11.24	Huracán Buenos Aires - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Argentina
23.10.24	Boca Juniors - Gimnasia La Plata	2:1 penalties
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.07.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Boca Juniors	1:3
20.10.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Boca Juniors	1:2
30.10.21	Boca Juniors - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.02.21	Boca Juniors - Gimnasia La Plata	2:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.03.20	Boca Juniors - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0
27.10.18	Gimnasia La Plata - Boca Juniors	2:1

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