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Current Win Probability
Boca Juniors 53.6%
Draw 28%
Quilmes 18.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.4%
21.8%
10.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.9%
20.7%
10.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boca Juniors's form might have worsened.
Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Quilmes's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+17.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Quilmes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
65%
25%
10%
Boca Juniors - Quilmes Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Quilmes will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 44.1% – 85.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Neutral location.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 4.
Boca Juniors in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Quilmes is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Quilmes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Boca Juniors is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Boca Juniors to win the game is with odds 1.69.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-4.
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