Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV, SI Solo Calcio
Mexico	Disney+
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ESPN South
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	Boca Juniors		Aldosivi

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	6.5	Watch
	1.55	3.85	6.4	Watch
	1.56	4.01	6.68
	1.56	3.93	6.51	Watch
	1.44	4	7.5
	1.55	4	6.36	Watch
	1.55	3.85	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.53)	3.93 (3.93)	6.62 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
61.6%

Draw
24.1%

Aldosivi
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

24%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

23.5%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Boca Juniors - Aldosivi Predictions

Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Marchesin A. (G) 17. Advincula L. 34. Mendia M. 6. Rojo M. (C) 23. Blanco L. 21. Herrera A. 43. Delgado M. 19. Martegani A. 7. Zeballos E. 9. Gimenez M. 11. Janson L.	14. Barlasina W. (G) 4. Gonzalez R. (C) 25. Breitenbruch N. 6. Mottes G. 3. Guerrico I. 44. Cerato G. 29. Esponda M. 21. Leiva T. 18. Preciado E. 40. Giani J. 9. Torres E.
Substitutes
33. Aguirre B. 15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 24. Barinaga J. 5. Battaglia R. 42. Blondel L. 12. Brey L. (G) 40. Di Lollo L. 18. Fabra F. 16. Miguel Merentiel 53. Ruiz J. 20. Velasco A. 22. Zenon K.	5. Bochi R. 20. Cabral Y. 1. Carranza J. (G) 80. Chavez L. 39. Devesa A. 22. Dominguez A. 7. Guzman N. 2. Kummer T. 15. Laquidain S. 23. Paredes G. 19. Rami F. 8. Serrago T.
Coaches
Gago F.	Yllana A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Herrera A. 🟨,
44', Cerato G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Herrera A. ↓, Blondel L. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Advincula L. ⚽, Delgado M. (A),
58', Martegani A. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
58', Rojo M. ↓, Di Lollo L. ↑,
62', Leiva T. ↓, Serrago T. ↑,
62', Preciado E. ↓, Chavez L. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Serrago T. ⚽, Giani J. (A),
66', Blanco L. 🟨,
67', Zeballos E. ↓, Miguel Merentiel ↑,
78', Janson L. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
81', Torres E. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
81', Esponda M. ↓, Bochi R. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Gimenez M. (A),
90', Zenon K. 🟨,
90+2', Miguel Merentiel 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 4.

Recent matches Boca Juniors is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aldosivi has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Boca Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Boca Juniors is indisputable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22:11 (average 2.2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:9 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Copa Libertadores
18.02.25	Alianza Lima - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.02.25	Banfield - Boca Juniors	0:1 ✺
11.02.25	Boca Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Racing - Boca Juniors	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Boca Juniors - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLW
- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.02.25	Aldosivi - Estudiantes La Plata	2:2 ✺
11.02.25	Belgrano - Aldosivi	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Aldosivi - Barracas Central	1:3 ✺
02.02.25	Newells Old Boys - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
30.01.25	Aldosivi - Defensa y Justicia	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.10.22	Boca Juniors - Aldosivi	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.02.22	Aldosivi - Boca Juniors	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.11.21	Aldosivi - Boca Juniors	0:3
18.08.19	Boca Juniors - Aldosivi	2:0
06.04.19	Aldosivi - Boca Juniors	1:1
Torneos De Verano
20.01.19	Boca Juniors - Aldosivi	2:1
17.01.18	Boca Juniors - Aldosivi	2:3 penalties

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