Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 5

Date: 13 June 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali)


	Boca Juniors de Cali		Atlético Bucaramanga

	1	X	2
	7	4.75	1.38	Watch
	7.25	4.6	1.32
				Watch
	8.4	4.55	1.38
				Watch
	4.33	3.4	1.75
	6.78	4.79	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.75 ↑ (4.45)	4.42 ↑ (3.5)	1.45 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors de Cali
13.9%

Draw
21.2%

Atlético Bucaramanga
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

26.2%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

25.5%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boca Juniors de Cali's form might have worsened.

Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Bucaramanga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors de Cali than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors de Cali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Bucaramanga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Boca Juniors de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Sambueza F. ⚽,

Preview

Bucaramanga is Qualified for Copa Colombia (Second stage Quarter~finals)

Boca Juniors is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bucaramanga is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bucaramanga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bucaramanga is the team to beat.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors de Cali
Colombian Copa
07.06.25	Boyacá Chicó - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:0 ✺
03.06.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Deportes Quindío	2:0 ✺
30.05.25	Deportivo Cali - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
18.05.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Barranquilla - Boca Juniors de Cali	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLT
- Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Copa
10.06.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó	3:2 ✺
06.06.25	Deportes Quindío - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:2 ✺
02.06.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Cali	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.05.25	Colo-Colo - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.05.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWLW

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