Match Info

Date: 25 October 2020, Sunday


	Bochum		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.72	3.7	5	Watch
	1.79	3.65	4.3
	1.8	3.6	4.2
	1.89	3.68	4.37
	1.78	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.79	3.72	4.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.91)	3.66 ↑ (3.51)	4.44 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
52.8%

Draw
25.9%

Erzgebirge Aue
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

27%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

17.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-19.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bochum that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erzgebirge Aue could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73%	16.2%	10.8%

Bochum - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 27 - 73%). Aue will win (votes: 4 - 10.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bochum: 58.7% – 87.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators. Limited number of spectators.

Bochum has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Aue has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bochum could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bochum is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Bochum won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 26-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Bochum won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German 2 Bundesliga
17.10.20	Eintracht Braunschweig - Bochum	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.10.20	Bochum - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
02.10.20	Bochum - Osnabrück	0:0 ✺
27.09.20	Karlsruher - Bochum	0:1 ✺
21.09.20	Bochum - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTTWT
- Erzgebirge Aue
German 2 Bundesliga
21.10.20	Hamburger SV - Erzgebirge Aue	3:0 ✺
18.10.20	Erzgebirge Aue - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
25.09.20	Erzgebirge Aue - Greuther Fürth	1:1 ✺
19.09.20	Würzburger Kickers - Erzgebirge Aue	0:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
12.09.20	Ulm 1846 - Erzgebirge Aue	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
17.06.20	Erzgebirge Aue - Bochum	1:2
30.11.19	Bochum - Erzgebirge Aue	2:0
28.04.19	Erzgebirge Aue - Bochum	3:2
24.11.18	Bochum - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1
27.04.18	Bochum - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1
26.11.17	Erzgebirge Aue - Bochum	1:1
19.03.17	Bochum - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1

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