Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 17

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum)

Referee: Eckermann M. P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Bochum		Karlsruher

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.58	4.25	4.85	Watch
	1.72	4.33	4.57
	1.62	4.43	4.77	Watch
	1.57	4	4.8
	1.63	4.2	5	Watch
	1.52	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.93)	4.25 ↑ (3.64)	4.96 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
58.8%

Draw
22.2%

Karlsruher
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

25.4%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

21.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bochum's performance.

Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karlsruher might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bochum that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karlsruher could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.6%	4.3%	13%

Bochum - Karlsruher Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25, 1st Half - Bochum (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Bochum (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bochum will win (19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% – 98.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bochum will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 12 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horn T. (C) 39. Morgalla L. 20. Loosli N. 3. Strompf P. 32. Wittek M. 34. Lenz C. 24. Pannewig M. 29. Alfa-Ruprecht F. 21. Onyeka F. 8. Watjen K. 33. Hofmann P.	1. Bernat C. (G) 4. Beifus M. 6. Rapp N. 15. Scholl P. 2. Jung S. 7. Burnic D. 16. Muller A. 20. Herold D. 11. Forster P. 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 9. Simic R.
Substitutes
27. Jahn N. 35. Koscierski K. 11. Kwarteng M. 4. Masovic E. 23. Miyoshi K. 15. Passlack F. 26. Rosch R. 9. Sissoko I. 22. Thiede N. (G)	29. Duhring M. N. 13. Fukuda S. 35. Geller R. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 34. Kritzer M. 44. Laghrissi E. 17. Opitz L. 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 21. Waschenbach M.
Coaches
Rosler U.	Eichner C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Onyeka F. ⚽, Loosli N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Simic R. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Wanitzek M. ⚽,
57', Alfa-Ruprecht F. ↓, Miyoshi K. ↑,
65', Watjen K. 🟨,
68', Miyoshi K. 🟨,
69', 2 - 1, Onyeka F. ⚽, Wittek M. (A),
70', Watjen K. ↓, Kwarteng M. ↑,
70', Morgalla L. ↓, Passlack F. ↑,
79', Burnic D. ↓, Laghrissi E. ↑,
79', Beifus M. ↓, Pinto Pedrosa R. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Fukuda S. ⚽, Herold D. (A),
90', Onyeka F. ↓, Koscierski K. ↑,
90+3', Muller A. ↓, Kritzer M. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 1.

In recent matches, Bochum has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Karlsruher is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Bochum is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Bochum: Holtmann G. (Knee Injury) Kwarteng M. (Inactive) Sissoko I. (International duty) Vogt K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Karlsruher: Ben Farhat L. (Broken Leg) Egloff L. (Hamstring Injury) Franke M. (Red Card) Schleusener F. (Red Card) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bochum: Wittek M. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bochum won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German 2 Bundesliga
13.12.25	Hannover - Bochum	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bochum - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.12.25	Bochum - Stuttgart	0:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
29.11.25	Greuther Fürth - Bochum	0:3 ✺
21.11.25	Bochum - Dynamo Dresden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLWL
- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
13.12.25	Karlsruher - Paderborn	0:4 ✺
06.12.25	Darmstadt - Karlsruher	3:2 ✺
28.11.25	Hannover - Karlsruher	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Karlsruher - Elversberg	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
13.11.25	Karlsruher - Luzern	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.12.22	Bochum - Karlsruher	1:2
German 2 Bundesliga
31.01.21	Bochum - Karlsruher	1:2
27.09.20	Karlsruher - Bochum	0:1
24.05.20	Karlsruher - Bochum	0:0
20.10.19	Bochum - Karlsruher	3:3
05.02.17	Bochum - Karlsruher	1:1
13.08.16	Karlsruher - Bochum	1:1

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