Match Info

DFB Pokal - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum)

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bochum		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.2	1.57	Watch
	4.95	4.7	1.58	Watch
	5.26	4.55	1.62
	5.22	4.62	1.55	Watch
	5	4	1.57
	5.65	4.29	1.61	Watch
	5.33	4.33	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↓ (6.43)	4.38 ↓ (5.01)	1.58 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
18.1%

Draw
21.7%

Stuttgart
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

19%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

18.5%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stuttgart might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stuttgart could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bochum - Stuttgart Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stuttgart will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horn T. (C) 39. Morgalla L. 20. Loosli N. 3. Strompf P. 32. Wittek M. 34. Lenz C. 24. Pannewig M. 6. Sissoko I. 8. Watjen K. 29. Alfa-Ruprecht F. 21. Onyeka F.	1. Bredlow F. (G) 29. Jeltsch F. 24. Chabot J. 3. Hendriks R. 22. Assignon L. 16. Karazor A. (C) 6. Stiller A. 7. Mittelstadt M. 11. El Khannouss B. 18. Leweling J. 26. Undav D.
Substitutes
33. Hofmann P. 35. Koscierski K. 11. Kwarteng M. 4. Masovic E. 10. Obafemi M. 15. Passlack F. 26. Rosch R. 9. Sissoko I. 22. Thiede N. (G)	2. Al Dakhil A. 30. Andres C. 27. Bouanani B. 10. Fuhrich C. 28. Nartey N. 33. Nubel A. (G) 20. Stergiou L. 8. Tomas T. 4. Vagnoman J.
Coaches
Rosler U.	Hoeness S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Strompf P. (Own goal),
45+1', Strompf P. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lenz C. ↓, Masovic E. ↑,
46', Onyeka F. ↓, Kwarteng M. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Undav D. ⚽, Leweling J. (A),
61', Morgalla L. ↓, Passlack F. ↑,
61', El Khannouss B. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
61', Alfa-Ruprecht F. ↓, Koscierski K. ↑,
61', Hendriks R. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
76', Watjen K. ↓, Hofmann P. ↑,
76', Stiller A. ↓, Andres C. ↑,
76', Leweling J. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
89', Jeltsch F. ↓, Stergiou L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 1.

Bochum has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stuttgart is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stuttgart is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Bochum: Bero M. (Ankle Injury) Vogt K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Stuttgart: Demirovic E. (Foot Injury) Diehl J. (Ankle Injury) Jaquez L. (Muscle Injury) Keitel Y. (Thigh Injury) Silas (Ankle Injury) Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Bochum: Watjen K. (Illness)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Fuhrich C. (Muscle Injury) Tomas T. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:26. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bochum won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.8:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German 2 Bundesliga
29.11.25	Greuther Fürth - Bochum	0:3 ✺
21.11.25	Bochum - Dynamo Dresden	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.11.25	Bochum - Osnabrück	1:4 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
09.11.25	Eintracht Braunschweig - Bochum	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Bochum - Magdeburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLWW
- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
30.11.25	Hamburger SV - Stuttgart	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Stuttgart	0:4 ✺
German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart	3:3 ✺
09.11.25	Stuttgart - Augsburg	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Stuttgart - Feyenoord	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
05.04.25	Bochum - Stuttgart	0:4
23.11.24	Stuttgart - Bochum	2:0
20.01.24	Bochum - Stuttgart	1:0
19.08.23	Stuttgart - Bochum	5:0
09.04.23	Bochum - Stuttgart	2:3
15.10.22	Stuttgart - Bochum	4:1
19.02.22	Stuttgart - Bochum	1:1

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