Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 16

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: BBBank Wildpark (Karlsruhe)

Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Karlsruher		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.55	2.02	Watch
	3.4	3.7	2.16
	3.33	3.69	2.08	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.09	3.65	2.2	Watch
	3.5	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↓ (3.73)	3.6 ↓ (3.68)	2.09 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlsruher
28.6%

Draw
26.2%

Paderborn
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

25.1%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

24.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paderborn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Karlsruher - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Karlsruher will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Paderborn will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karlsruher: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karlsruher (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bernat C. (G) 2. Jung S. 28. Franke M. 22. Kobald C. 20. Herold D. 7. Burnic D. 6. Rapp N. 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 17. Opitz L. 24. Schleusener F.	41. Seimen D. (G) 22. Hansen M. 20. Gotze F. 25. Scheller T. 17. Curda L. 14. Baur M. 26. Klaas S. 23. Obermair R. (C) 28. Copado L. 9. Batzner N. 11. Michel S.
Substitutes
29. Duhring M. N. 11. Forster P. 13. Fukuda S. 35. Geller R. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 44. Laghrissi E. 15. Scholl P. 9. Simic R. 21. Waschenbach M.	7. Bilbija F. 5. Castaneda S. 6. Engelns L. 30. Marino S. 2. Muller R. 1. Schubert M. (G) 3. Sticker J. 27. Tigges S. 18. Worner M.
Coaches
Eichner C.	Kettemann R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Schleusener F. 🟨,
33', Franke M. 🟨,
45+2', Curda L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Rapp N. ↓, Waschenbach M. ↑,
52', Schleusener F. 🟨,
53', Burnic D. 🟨,
61', Gotze F. 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Curda L. ⚽, Gotze F. (A),
71', 0 - 2, Curda L. ⚽,
72', Jung S. ↓, Simic R. ↑,
72', Michel S. ↓, Bilbija F. ↑,
77', Copado L. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
77', Curda L. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,
78', 0 - 3, Obermair R. ⚽, Baur M. (A),
82', Opitz L. ↓, Scholl P. ↑,
83', Franke M. 🟨,
84', Batzner N. ↓, Castaneda S. ↑,
84', Klaas S. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
86', 0 - 4, Scheller T. ⚽, Obermair R. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 2.

Karlsruher is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Paderborn has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Paderborn will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Karlsruher: Beifus M. (Yellow Cards) Ben Farhat L. (Broken Leg) Egloff L. (Hamstring Injury) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Paderborn: Brackelmann C. (Red Card) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Karlsruher won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
06.12.25	Darmstadt - Karlsruher	3:2 ✺
28.11.25	Hannover - Karlsruher	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Karlsruher - Elversberg	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
13.11.25	Karlsruher - Luzern	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
08.11.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Karlsruher	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
06.12.25	Paderborn - Elversberg	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	Schalke 04 - Paderborn	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Paderborn - Hannover	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	Magdeburg - Paderborn	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Paderborn - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
18.05.25	Karlsruher - Paderborn	3:0
21.12.24	Paderborn - Karlsruher	1:2
13.04.24	Paderborn - Karlsruher	1:1
05.11.23	Karlsruher - Paderborn	0:3
27.01.23	Karlsruher - Paderborn	0:1
17.07.22	Paderborn - Karlsruher	5:0
10.04.22	Paderborn - Karlsruher	2:2

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