Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 15

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)

Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Darmstadt		Karlsruher

	1	X	2
	1.67	4	4.5	Watch
	1.68	3.95	4.35	Watch
	1.7	4.3	4.71
	1.7	4.2	4.41	Watch
	1.67	3.9	4.4
	1.7	4.07	4.58	Watch
	1.64	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.66)	4.09 ↓ (4.12)	4.49 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
56%

Draw
23%

Karlsruher
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

22.7%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

21.7%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Darmstadt - Karlsruher Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Darmstadt will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (G) 2. Lopez S. 6. Pfeiffer P. 5. Maglica M. 15. Nurnberger F. 17. Klefisch K. 16. Akiyama H. 34. Corredor K. 23. Richter M. 8. Marseiler L. 7. Lidberg I.	1. Bernat C. (G) 2. Jung S. 28. Franke M. 4. Beifus M. 20. Herold D. 7. Burnic D. 16. Muller A. 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 11. Forster P. 10. Wanitzek M. 24. Schleusener F.
Substitutes
26. Bader M. 27. Bialek B. 30. Brunst A. (G) 44. Furukawa Y. 32. Holland F. 19. Lakenmacher F. 21. Papela M. 20. Vukotic A. 28. Will P.	29. Duhring M. N. 13. Fukuda S. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 44. Laghrissi E. 17. Opitz L. 15. Scholl P. 9. Simic R. 21. Waschenbach M.
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Eichner C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Akiyama H. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Maglica M. (Own goal),
45', 1 - 1, Richter M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Lidberg I. ⚽,
54', Muller A. ↓, Waschenbach M. ↑,
60', 2 - 2, Schleusener F. ⚽, Wanitzek M. (A),
62', Beifus M. 🟨,
63', 3 - 2, Maglica M. ⚽, Richter M. (A),
67', Forster P. ↓, Opitz L. ↑,
73', Lopez S. ↓, Bader M. ↑,
73', Akiyama H. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
73', Nurnberger F. ↓, Holland F. ↑,
79', Schleusener F. ↓, Simic R. ↑,
79', Burnic D. ↓, Laghrissi E. ↑,
82', Richter M. ↓, Vukotic A. ↑,
89', Marseiler L. ↓, Furukawa Y. ↑,
90+4', Waschenbach M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Karlsruher may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Darmstadt is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Darmstadt: Hornby F. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Karlsruher: Ben Farhat L. (Broken Leg) Egloff L. (Hamstring Injury) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German DFB Pokal
03.12.25	Freiburg - Darmstadt	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
30.11.25	Elversberg - Darmstadt	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Darmstadt - Greuther Fürth	4:2 ✺
08.11.25	Hannover - Darmstadt	2:3 ✺
01.11.25	Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWWT
- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
28.11.25	Hannover - Karlsruher	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Karlsruher - Elversberg	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
13.11.25	Karlsruher - Luzern	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
08.11.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Karlsruher	4:0 ✺
01.11.25	Karlsruher - Schalke 04	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
07.03.25	Darmstadt - Karlsruher	3:0
04.10.24	Karlsruher - Darmstadt	3:3
21.04.23	Darmstadt - Karlsruher	2:1
15.10.22	Karlsruher - Darmstadt	1:2
15.01.22	Darmstadt - Karlsruher	2:2
30.07.21	Karlsruher - Darmstadt	3:0
26.02.21	Darmstadt - Karlsruher	0:1

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