Match Info

Date: 27 February 2021, Saturday


	Bochum		Würzburger Kickers

	1	X	2
	1.61	4	5.25	Watch
	1.67	3.7	5.5	Watch
	1.63	3.65	5.75
	1.67	3.75	4.9
	1.69	3.87	5.55
	1.65	3.6	5.25
	1.69	3.64	5.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)	3.74 ↓ (3.75)	5.38 ↓ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
57.1%

Draw
25.3%

Würzburger Kickers
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

25.3%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

14.2%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Würzburger Kickers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-24.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bochum that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Würzburger Kickers than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Würzburger Kickers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.2%	3.9%	5.9%

Bochum - Würzburger Kickers Predictions

Users Predictions: Bochum will win (46 of 51 users predict this - 90.2%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.04% – 98.36%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Bundesliga (Promotion) and 18 in the zone Relegation to 3. Liga).

Bochum has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (35%), has a small chance of win league (14%).

Würzburger Kickers has a good chance of relegated (79%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Bochum could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bochum is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bochum won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Bochum won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German 2 Bundesliga
19.02.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Bochum	1:0 ✺
14.02.21	Bochum - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:0 ✺
06.02.21	Osnabrück - Bochum	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.02.21	RB Leipzig - Bochum	4:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
31.01.21	Bochum - Karlsruher	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLL
- Würzburger Kickers
German 2 Bundesliga
21.02.21	Würzburger Kickers - Hamburger SV	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.02.21	Augsburg - Würzburger Kickers	3:1
German 2 Bundesliga
12.02.21	Holstein Kiel - Würzburger Kickers	1:0 ✺
07.02.21	Greuther Fürth - Würzburger Kickers	4:1 ✺
29.01.21	Würzburger Kickers - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
01.11.20	Würzburger Kickers - Bochum	2:3
18.02.17	Bochum - Würzburger Kickers	2:1
09.09.16	Würzburger Kickers - Bochum	2:0

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