Match Info

Date: 6 February 2021, Saturday


	Osnabrück		Bochum

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.75	3.4	2
	3.8	3.4	1.95
	4	3.61	1.99
	3.8	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.82	3.54	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.62)	3.49 ↑ (3.47)	1.97 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osnabrück
24.8%

Draw
27.1%

Bochum
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

27.2%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

20.9%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osnabrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osnabrück than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bochum could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.8%	10.3%	76.9%

Osnabrück - Bochum Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Osnabrück will win (votes: 5 - 12.8%). Bochum will win (votes: 30 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bochum: 63.7% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Bundesliga).

Osnabrück has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Bochum has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (33%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

Osnabrück has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bochum is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Osnabrück could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bochum will have a small advantage in this match.

Bochum will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Osnabrück won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Osnabrück won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Osnabrück
German 2 Bundesliga
01.02.21	Hannover - Osnabrück	1:0 ✺
26.01.21	Osnabrück - Greuther Fürth	0:1 ✺
22.01.21	Osnabrück - Erzgebirge Aue	0:1 ✺
18.01.21	Hamburger SV - Osnabrück	5:0 ✺
09.01.21	Osnabrück - Würzburger Kickers	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- VfL Bochum
German DFB Pokal
03.02.21	RB Leipzig - Bochum	4:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
31.01.21	Bochum - Karlsruher	1:2 ✺
28.01.21	St. Pauli - Bochum	2:3 ✺
24.01.21	Sandhausen - Bochum	1:1 ✺
16.01.21	Bochum - Nürnberg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
02.10.20	Bochum - Osnabrück	0:0
13.06.20	Osnabrück - Bochum	0:2
22.11.19	Bochum - Osnabrück	1:1
Club Friendly
14.07.12	Osnabrück - Bochum	N/A

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