Match Info

Date: 12 February 2021, Friday


	Holstein Kiel		Würzburger Kickers

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	6	Watch
	1.6	4	5.75	Watch
	1.6	3.9	5.5
	1.6	4.1	5
	1.65	4.16	5.42
	1.6	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.61	4.05	5.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)	3.97 ↑ (3.76)	5.52 ↓ (5.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
59%

Draw
23.9%

Würzburger Kickers
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

25%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

20.4%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Würzburger Kickers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Holstein Kiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Würzburger Kickers than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.4%	4.7%	15%

Holstein Kiel - Würzburger Kickers Predictions

Users Predictions: Holstein Kiel will win (86 of 107 users predict this - 80.37%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.84% – 87.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Bundesliga (Promotion) and 18 in the zone Relegation to 3. Liga).

Holstein Kiel has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (42%), has a small chance of win league (15%).

Würzburger Kickers has a good chance of relegated (83%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Holstein Kiel in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Würzburger Kickers is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Holstein Kiel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Holstein Kiel is a favorite.

Würzburger Kickers is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 3 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
08.02.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel	0:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.02.21	Holstein Kiel - Darmstadt	2:1 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
30.01.21	Holstein Kiel - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:1 ✺
27.01.21	Paderborn - Holstein Kiel	1:1 ✺
24.01.21	Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWTW
- Würzburger Kickers
German 2 Bundesliga
07.02.21	Greuther Fürth - Würzburger Kickers	4:1 ✺
29.01.21	Würzburger Kickers - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 ✺
26.01.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Würzburger Kickers	2:1 ✺
23.01.21	Paderborn - Würzburger Kickers	1:0 ✺
15.01.21	Würzburger Kickers - Eintracht Braunschweig	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
18.10.20	Würzburger Kickers - Holstein Kiel	0:2
German 3 Bundesliga
07.05.16	Würzburger Kickers - Holstein Kiel	1:1
28.11.15	Holstein Kiel - Würzburger Kickers	1:2

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