Match Info

Date: 21 February 2021, Sunday


	Würzburger Kickers		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	5.75	4	1.55	Watch
	5.5	4.25	1.57	Watch
	5	4	1.63
	5.2	4.2	1.56
	5.6	4.33	1.61
	5.5	3.9	1.57
	5.3	4.3	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.41 ↑ (5.26)	4.14 ↑ (4)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Würzburger Kickers
17.5%

Draw
22.8%

Hamburger SV
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

23.6%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

13.6%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Würzburger Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Würzburger Kickers than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Würzburger Kickers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-26%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamburger SV, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13%	6.5%	80.4%

Würzburger Kickers - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: Hamburger SV will win (37 of 46 users predict this - 80.43%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.96% – 91.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation to 3. Liga and 1 in the zone Promotion to Bundesliga).

Würzburger Kickers has a good chance of relegated (88%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hamburg has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of promoted (79%), has a good chance of win league (53%).

Würzburger Kickers is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hamburg is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Würzburger Kickers could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Würzburger Kickers have a series of guest games.

In this match Hamburg is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Würzburger Kickers won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Würzburger Kickers
Club Friendly
15.02.21	Augsburg - Würzburger Kickers	3:1
German 2 Bundesliga
12.02.21	Holstein Kiel - Würzburger Kickers	1:0 ✺
07.02.21	Greuther Fürth - Würzburger Kickers	4:1 ✺
29.01.21	Würzburger Kickers - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 ✺
26.01.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Würzburger Kickers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLLWL
- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
13.02.21	Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth	0:0 ✺
05.02.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Hamburger SV	3:3 ✺
30.01.21	Hamburger SV - Paderborn	3:1 ✺
26.01.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hamburger SV	0:0 ✺
23.01.21	Eintracht Braunschweig - Hamburger SV	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
24.10.20	Hamburger SV - Würzburger Kickers	3:1

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