Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Aspmyra Stadion (Bodø)

Referee: Grinfeld O. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Grandstand ROA, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN
China	QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Sky Sport 252
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malta	TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Fox Sports
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, TDM Desporto
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2
Usa	CBS, FuboTV, Paramount+, TUDN
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	ON Football
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app


	Bodø Glimt		Porto

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.8	1.83
	4	3.8	1.83
	3.95	3.95	1.85
	4.05	3.93	1.87
	4.05	3.96	1.82	Watch
	4	3.8	1.85
	4.19	4.12	1.87
	4	4	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.55)	3.92 ↑ (3.73)	1.85 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodø Glimt
23.7%

Draw
24.5%

Porto
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

25.6%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

26.9%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodø Glimt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	9.9%	84.5%

Bodø Glimt - Porto Predictions

Users Predictions: Porto will win (60 of 68 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.58% – 95.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Haikin N. (G) 20. Sjovold F. 4. Bjortuft O. L. 2. Nielsen V. 15. Bjorkan F. 14. Saltnes U. (C) 7. Berg P. 26. Evjen H. 25. Maatta I. 9. Hogh K. 23. Hauge J.	99. Costa D. (C) 23. Joao Mario 24. Perez N. 97. Pedro J. 74. Moura F. 16. Nico 8. Grujic M. 6. Eustaquio S. 70. Borges G. 9. Omorodion S. 17. Ivan Jaime
Substitutes
8. Auklend S. 11. Espejord R. 19. Fet S. 21. Helmersen A. 1. Lund J. (G) 94. Mikkelsen A. 18. Moe B. 30. Sorensen A. 27. Sorli S. 29. Tomic M. 77. Zinckernagel P. 99. Zugelj N.	14. Claudio Ramos (G) 19. Danny Namaso 3. Djalo T. 52. Fernandes M. 20. Franco A. 13. Galeno 27. Gul D. 86. Mora R. 11. Pepê 15. Sousa V. 22. Varela A. 18. Wendell
Coaches
Knutsen K.	Bruno V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Omorodion S. ⚽, Moura F. (A),
15', 1 - 1, Hogh K. ⚽, Hauge J. (A),
29', Pedro J. 🟨,
40', 2 - 1, Hauge J. ⚽, Saltnes U. (A),
45+3', Maatta I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Maatta I. 🟨,
60', Eustaquio S. ↓, Galeno ↑,
60', Borges G. ↓, Pepê ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Hauge J. ⚽, Hogh K. (A),
69', Ivan Jaime ↓, Gul D. ↑,
69', Grujic M. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
71', Nico 🟨,
79', Hogh K. ↓, Zinckernagel P. ↑,
80', Moura F. ↓, Franco A. ↑,
81', Berg P. 🟨,
83', Evjen H. ↓, Fet S. ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Gul D. ⚽,
90+1', Saltnes U. ↓, Mikkelsen A. ↑,
90+1', Hauge J. ↓, Espejord R. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Bodø Glimt is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Porto is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Porto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Porto is a favorite.

There will not play in Bodø Glimt: Elabdellaoui O. (Injury) Skeide S. (Knee Injury) Vetti G. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Porto: Marcano I. (Knee Injury) Vieira F. (Groin Injury) Zaidu (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bodø Glimt: Bassi D. (Thigh Injury) Wembangomo B. (Muscle Injury) Zugelj N. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodø Glimt
Norwegian Eliteserien
22.09.24	Brann - Bodø Glimt	4:1 ✺
13.09.24	Bodø Glimt - Hamarkameratene	3:0 ✺
01.09.24	Strømsgodset - Bodø Glimt	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.08.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Bodø Glimt	2:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
24.08.24	Bodø Glimt - Sarpsborg 08	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWLW
- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
21.09.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Porto	0:3 ✺
15.09.24	Porto - Farense	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Porto - Rio Ave	2:0 ✺
16.08.24	Santa Clara - Porto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWW

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