Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Dragão (Porto)

Referee: Silva D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 3
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	Bold+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	Sport 1
Israel	Sport 1, Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Antel TV
World	Onefootball


	Porto		Rio Ave

	1	X	2
	1.09	9	19	Watch
	1.14	8.75	16.5
	1.08	9.8	22	Watch
	1.11	9.77	21
	1.11	9.78	23.68	Watch
	1.11	9.5	19	Watch
	1.11	11.7	24	Watch
	1.12	8	20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.12)	9.54 ↓ (10.1)	20.65 ↓ (24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
85.5%

Draw
9.9%

Rio Ave
4.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.4%

9.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Porto - Rio Ave Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 74.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 - Rio Ave (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Porto will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Rio Ave (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Costa D. (C) 20. Costa A. 13. Rosario P. 5. Bednarek J. 12. Zaidu 22. Varela A. 10. Veiga G. 8. Froholdt V. 11. Pepê 27. Gul D. 77. Pietuszewski O.	99. van der Gouw E. (G) 17. Vrousai M. (C) 32. Brabec J. 39. Gustavo Mancha 77. Richards O. 44. Nikitscher T. 5. Ntoi A. 7. Diogo Bezerra 80. Pohlmann O. 18. Spikic D. 11. Blesa J.
Substitutes
73. Bras G. 14. Claudio Ramos (G) 42. Fofana S. 29. Moffi T. 86. Mora R. 74. Moura F. 21. Prpic D. 17. Sainz B. 7. William Gomes	6. Abbey N. 22. Chamorro K. (G) 21. Graca J. 54. Liavas G. 19. Papakanellos A. 23. Petrasso F. 8. Ryan Guilherme 20. Tome J. 14. Zoabi K.
Coaches
Farioli F.	Sylaidopoulos S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Froholdt V. ⚽, Pietuszewski O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Spikic D. ↓, Zoabi K. ↑,
65', Pohlmann O. ↓, Tome J. ↑,
65', Veiga G. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
65', Pietuszewski O. ↓, William Gomes ↑,
75', Pepê ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
75', Gul D. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
83', Vrousai M. ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
83', Nikitscher T. ↓, Ryan Guilherme ↑,
85', Froholdt V. ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
88', Ntoi A. ↓, Graca J. ↑,
90+1', Farioli F. 🟨,
90+2', Costa A. 🟨,
90+2', Graca J. 🟨,
90+2', Richards O. 🟨,
90+6', Zoabi K. 🟨,
90+7', Varela A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 3.

Porto is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rio Ave is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Porto is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Porto: Fernandes M. (Injury) Kiwior J. (Injury) Perez N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Perez T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Samu (Knee Injury) de Jong L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rio Ave: Aguilera Zamora B. (Knee Injury) Miszta C. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto won 14 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 41:15. (average 2.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:5. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Porto	8	8	0	0	20:4	16	24
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5:15	-10	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
15.02.26	Nacional - Porto	0:1 ✺
09.02.26	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
02.02.26	Casa Pia - Porto	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Porto - Glasgow Rangers	3:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
26.01.26	Porto - Gil Vicente	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLWW
- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
16.02.26	Rio Ave - Moreirense	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Braga - Rio Ave	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Rio Ave - Arouca	0:3 ✺
25.01.26	Nacional - Rio Ave	4:0 ✺
17.01.26	Rio Ave - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
19.09.25	Rio Ave - Porto	0:3
03.02.25	Rio Ave - Porto	2:2
24.08.24	Porto - Rio Ave	2:0
03.02.24	Porto - Rio Ave	0:0
28.08.23	Rio Ave - Porto	1:2
18.02.23	Porto - Rio Ave	1:0
28.08.22	Rio Ave - Porto	3:1

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