Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Final

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Aspmyra Stadion (Bodø)

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bodø Glimt		Sturm Graz

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6
	1.58	4.33	4.8
	1.45	5	6.5
	1.45	5	6.45
	1.05	14.42	26.45	Watch
	1.6	4	4.8
	1.47	4.91	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.69)	6.06 ↑ (4.1)	8.74 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodø Glimt
71.4%

Draw
16.9%

Sturm Graz
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

23%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

21.8%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodø Glimt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bodø Glimt's performance.

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sturm Graz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bodø Glimt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sturm Graz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	5.9%	4.6%

Bodø Glimt - Sturm Graz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Bodø Glimt (3.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sturm (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bodø Glimt will win (135 of 151 users predict this - 89.4%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.49% – 94.31%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bodø Glimt will win (70 of 74 users predict this - 94.59%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 76 Selected Experts predict this event. Bodø Glimt (votes: 71 - 93.4%). Sturm (votes: 3 - 3.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 2.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Haikin N. (G) 20. Sjovold F. 4. Bjortuft O. L. 5. Aleesami H. 15. Bjorkan F. 26. Evjen H. 7. Berg P. (C) 14. Saltnes U. 25. Maatta I. 9. Hogh K. 10. Hauge J.	1. Christensen O. (G) 2. Johnston M. 5. Oermann T. 24. Lavalee D. 17. Karic E. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 19. Horvat T. 21. Chukwuani T. 10. Kiteishvili O. 38. Grgic L. 15. Boving W.
Substitutes
8. Auklend S. 24. Bassi D. 77. Bro Hansen M. 44. Brondbo M. (G) 17. Burakovsky S. 19. Fet S. 21. Helmersen A. 30. Jorgensen M. 22. Klynge A. 1. Lund J. (G) 2. Nielsen V. 23. Riisnaes M.	47. Aiwu E. 22. Beck J. 26. Beganovic B. 40. Bignetti M. (G) 27. Haider G. 25. Hierlander S. 43. Hodl J. 20. Jatta S. 23. Malic A. 8. Rozga F. 32. Wiener-Pucher C. (G) 46. Wolf J.
Coaches
Knutsen K.	Saumel J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Hogh K. ⚽, Hauge J. (A),
10', 2 - 0, Bjortuft O. L. ⚽, Berg P. (A),
25', 3 - 0, Saltnes U. ⚽, Hauge J. (A),
35', Aleesami H. ↓, Nielsen V. ↑,
42', Berg P. 🟨,
45+1', Maatta I. ↓, Jorgensen M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 4 - 0, Evjen H. ⚽, Bjorkan F. (A),
57', Johnston M. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
57', Grgic L. ↓, Jatta S. ↑,
58', Malic A. 🟨,
70', Horvat T. 🟨,
74', Horvat T. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
79', 5 - 0, Boving W. (Own goal), Hauge J. (A),
83', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
85', Hauge J. ↓, Bassi D. ↑,
85', Hogh K. ↓, Helmersen A. ↑,
85', Evjen H. ↓, Auklend S. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Bodø Glimt is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Sturm has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bodø Glimt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bodø Glimt is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Bodø Glimt: Blomberg O. (Thigh Injury) Gundersen J. (Thigh Injury) Moe B. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Kayombo A. (Ankle Injury) Khudyakov D. (Wrist Injury)

There are questionable in Bodø Glimt: Burakovsky S. (Injury) Jorgensen M. (Knock)

We predict that Bodø Glimt will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodø Glimt
Norwegian Eliteserien
15.08.25	Strømsgodset - Bodø Glimt	0:5 ✺
09.08.25	Bodø Glimt - Tromsø	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Hamarkameratene - Bodø Glimt	1:3 ✺
30.07.25	Bodø Glimt - Strømsgodset	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Bodø Glimt - Vålerenga	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTWWW
- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
16.08.25	Ried - Sturm Graz	1:3 ✺
10.08.25	Sturm Graz - Rapid Wien	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.25	Sturm Graz - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
01.08.25	LASK Linz - Sturm Graz	0:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
25.07.25	Bischofshofen - Sturm Graz	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWW

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