Match Info

1. Lig - Round 18

Date: 22 December 2025, Monday

Location: Bodrum İlçe Stadı (Bodrum)

Referee: Coskunses R. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Bodrumspor		Amed SK

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.2	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.3
	2	3.63	3.15
	1.95	3.54	3.67
	2.02	3.74	3.24	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.25
	1.98	3.44	3.3	Watch
	2	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.91)	3.53 ↓ (3.65)	3.29 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodrumspor
46.2%

Draw
25.9%

Amed SK
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

25.4%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

26.2%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Amed SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.2%	5.6%	22.2%

Bodrumspor - Amed SK Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Bodrumspor will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Amed will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodrumspor: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Bodrumspor (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Amed (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bodrumspor will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bodrumspor (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Amed (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 27. Yilmaz M. 15. Ajeti Ar. (C) 35. Apaydin F. 77. Sen C. 26. Mohammed M. 10. Brazao P. 7. Dimitrov Z. 21. Aslan A. 99. Seferi T. 90. Habesoglu A.	31. Kardesler E. (C) 7. Ucar M. 21. Yesil M. 47. Demirtas K. 3. Kaldirim H. A. 11. Traore A. 5. Kurt S. 27. Moreno D. 91. Saba D. 99. Fernando Andrade 45. Diagne M.
Substitutes
37. Arkutcu E. 70. Bilsel E. 55. Demir B. (G) 8. Erdilman M. 11. Imeri O. 91. Ogruce E. 31. Okita J. 68. Tarim I. 32. Tosun B. (G) 25. Turk A.	33. Afena-Gyan F. 10. Cekdar O. 93. Girisen Y. 77. Hanalp C. 35. Kara A. 8. Kouyate C. 96. Sapan V. (G) 30. Tarhan Y.
Coaches
Eser B.	Kaloglu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Yesil M. 🟨,
44', Demirtas K. 🟨,
45+2', Yilmaz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Dimitrov Z. ↓, Bilsel E. ↑,
75', Fernando Andrade ↓, Afena-Gyan F. ↑,
82', Habesoglu A. ↓, Turk A. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

In recent matches, Bodrumspor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Amed is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bodrumspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bodrumspor has had a series of away games.

Bodrumspor might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Aytemur A. (Suspended) Fredy (International duty) Obekpa G. (Inactive) Yavuzay B. (Suspended)

There will not play in Amed: Aydin O. (Suspended) Gulmez A. K. (Suspended) Kaya B. (Suspended)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bodrumspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bodrumspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodrumspor
Turkish Cup
18.12.25	Gençlerbirliği - Bodrumspor	3:2 ✺
Turkish First League
14.12.25	Erzurumspor - Bodrumspor	2:2 ✺
08.12.25	Bandırmaspor - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Muğlaspor - Bodrumspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish First League
30.11.25	Bodrumspor - Çorum	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLWW
- Amed SK
Turkish First League
13.12.25	Amed SK - Bandırmaspor	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Umraniyespor - Amed SK	3:4 ✺
28.11.25	Amed SK - Erokspor	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Boluspor - Amed SK	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Amed SK - Hatayspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
21.04.19	Bodrumspor - Amed SK	3:0
02.12.18	Amed SK - Bodrumspor	3:0
Turkish Second League Red Group
10.02.18	Bodrumspor - Amed SK	0:2
23.09.17	Amed SK - Bodrumspor	1:1

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