Match Info

Date: 22 March 2022, Tuesday


	Bognor Regis Town		Merstham

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	3.6
	1.9	3.55	3.3
	1.95	3.7	3.56
	1.8	3.3	3.7
	1.91	3.68	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.85)	3.55 ↓ (3.77)	3.53 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bognor Regis Town
48.6%

Draw
25.7%

Merstham
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

24%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

22.9%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bognor Regis Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Merstham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merstham than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Bognor Regis Town - Merstham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bognor Regis won 4.

Bognor Regis is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Merstham has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Merstham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bognor Regis will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bognor Regis won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Bognor Regis won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.03.22	Kingstonian - Bognor Regis Town	1:0 ✺
14.03.22	Carshalton Athletic - Bognor Regis Town	0:1 ✺
12.03.22	Bognor Regis Town - Cray Wanderers	2:3 ✺
08.03.22	Corinthian-Casuals - Bognor Regis Town	0:0 ✺
05.03.22	Bognor Regis Town - Bowers & Pitsea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLTL
- Merstham
English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.03.22	Merstham - Hornchurch	1:3 ✺
12.03.22	Bishops Stortford - Merstham	6:0 ✺
08.03.22	Merstham - Cheshunt	0:1 ✺
05.03.22	Merstham - Leatherhead	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Haringey Borough - Merstham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
07.03.20	Merstham - Bognor Regis Town	2:2
16.11.19	Bognor Regis Town - Merstham	2:1
06.02.19	Merstham - Bognor Regis Town	1:2
14.08.18	Bognor Regis Town - Merstham	3:1
11.10.16	Bognor Regis Town - Merstham	2:0
16.08.16	Merstham - Bognor Regis Town	1:1
24.11.15	Merstham - Bognor Regis Town	3:2

Bognor Regis Town - Merstham: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide