Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Colombia	17:00	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	18:00	Fanatiz


	Bogotá		Envigado

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.00	2.85	2.25
	2.80	2.90	2.38	Watch
	3.10	2.97	2.51
	2.81	2.86	2.75	Watch
	3.00	2.90	2.45
	3.30	3.01	2.30	Watch
	3.00	2.90	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.8)	2.91 ↑ (2.9)	2.43 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bogotá
30.6%

Draw
31.5%

Envigado
37.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.7%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

30.5%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bogotá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Bogotá - Envigado Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Envigado will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Envigado: 71.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Envigado (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Aguilar A. (G) 7. Aladesanmi K. 21. Arango J. 31. Asprilla J. 3. Diaz S. 32. Gutierrez A. 81. Mosquera Y. 2. Palacios M. 8. Perez J. 5. Sanchez J. 20. Segura N.	88. Tovar A. (G) 19. Acuna S. 14. Betancurt M. 15. Cuervo G. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 8. Hurtado W. 99. Marulanda M. 5. Norena S. 2. Palacios D. 6. Palacios J. 17. Rodallega Y.
Substitutes
12. Benitez B. (G) 19. Estupinan D. 40. Leon R. 28. Medina M. 36. Palacios J. 9. Perea S. 16. Ramos Jaramillo H. 15. Velasco J.	20. Catano J. 25. Cuero M. 33. Londono E. 1. Mora J. (G) 18. Mujica G. 22. Palacio J. 27. Quejada J. 9. Rodriguez A. 30. Tenorio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Acuna S. ⚽,
42', 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Cuervo G. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Acuna S. ↓, Cuero M. ↑,
68', 🟨,
68', 0 - 3, Marulanda M. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Hurtado W. ↓, Catano J. ↑,
71', 1 - 3, Arango J. ⚽,
77', 🟨,
77', Norena S. ↓, Palacio J. ↑,
78', 2 - 3, Estupinan D. ⚽,
83', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
89', 🟥,
90+3', 3 - 3, Perez J. ⚽,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13th and 11th).

Bogotá is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Envigado has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bogotá could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Bogotá has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Envigado	15	4	8	3	17:13	4	20
10	Bogota	15	4	6	5	11:14	-3	18

Last Results with these Odds

Bogotá - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 31.83%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
28.09.26	Deportes Quindío - Bogotá	1:0 ✺
21.09.26	Bogotá - Barranquilla	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Tigres - Bogotá	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Bogotá - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Atlético Cali - Bogotá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTLL
- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera B
01.10.26	Envigado - Orsomarso	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Envigado - Atlético Cali	3:0 ✺
21.09.26	Real Cartagena - Envigado	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Envigado - Leones	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Envigado	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
25.03.26	Envigado - Bogotá	1:2

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