Match Info

Date: 13 October 2020, Tuesday


	Bogotá		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.25
	1.62	3.65	4.3
	1.64	3.65	4.4
	1.7	3.95	4.85
	1.7	3.5	4.4
	1.72	3.62	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.75)	3.65 ↑ (3.49)	4.45 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bogotá
54.4%

Draw
25.1%

Cartagena
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

20.9%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bogotá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Bogotá - Cartagena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Primera B (Apertura to Quadrangular) and 15).

Bogotá in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cartagena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bogotá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bogotá is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bogotá to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Bogotá won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Bogotá won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
07.10.20	Boca Juniors - Bogotá	1:3 ✺
03.10.20	Bogotá - Orsomarso	3:0 ✺
28.09.20	Deportes Quindío - Bogotá	2:2 ✺
22.09.20	Barranquilla - Bogotá	0:1 ✺
19.09.20	Bogotá - Unión Magdalena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WWTWW
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
11.10.20	Ponferradina - Cartagena	0:2 ✺
Colombian Primera B
07.10.20	Cartagena - Real San Andrés	2:3 ✺
04.10.20	Cartagena - Tigres	0:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
04.10.20	Cartagena - Lugo	2:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
30.09.20	Tigres - Cartagena	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
17.11.19	Cartagena - Bogotá	1:0
21.10.19	Bogotá - Cartagena	1:1
16.09.19	Cartagena - Bogotá	2:1
31.03.19	Bogotá - Cartagena	1:0
16.09.18	Cartagena - Bogotá	4:0
19.04.18	Bogotá - Cartagena	2:1
09.10.17	Bogotá - Cartagena	0:0

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