Match Info

USL League One

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Athletic Club Boise Soccer Stadium (Expo Idaho) (Boise, ID)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Boise		Charlotte Independence

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.70	3.50
	1.80	3.75	3.40
	1.70	4.16	4.32
	1.95	3.91	3.31	Watch
	1.63	4.10	4.25
	1.77	4.05	3.90	Watch
	1.72	3.75	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.92)	3.92 ↑ (3.65)	3.77 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boise
52.2%

Draw
23.4%

Charlotte Independence
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

24.5%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

23.2%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boise's performance.

Charlotte Independence has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boise than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Boise - Charlotte Independence Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Charlotte Ind (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlotte Ind (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Kliewer J. (G) 15. Yaro J. 25. Dengler J. 16. Crull J. 2. Ricketts J. 8. Gasso D. 66. Mayaka P. 36. Barea J. 14. Moon N. 11. Moshobane T. 7. Bodily B. (C)	28. Levy M. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 4. Coulibaly S. 5. Romero J. 3. Skinner J. 8. Jaime C. 6. Fuchs J. 14. Manin R. 10. Bakero J. 9. Manzinga C. 29. Stefano Pinho
Substitutes
22. Amang T. 1. Andema J. (G) 17. Hanson J. 10. Kostyshyn D. 9. Luan Brito 5. Ndiaye M. 23. Yehya O.	24. Amaya J. 13. Guffroy M. 26. Marou S. 19. Martinez E. 2. Ngah F. 11. Ortiz V. 22. Riascos K. 1. Tasouris G. (G)
Coaches
MIller N.	Jeffries M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Coulibaly S. 🟨,
11', Coulibaly S. 🟨,
23', Bodily B. ↓, Kostyshyn D. ↑,
33', Gasso D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 0, Kostyshyn D. ⚽, Gasso D. (A),
62', 1 - 1, Manin R. ⚽, Bakero J. (A),
67', Stefano Pinho ↓, Ngah F. ↑,
68', Bakero J. ↓, Amaya J. ↑,
69', Ricketts J. ↓, Luan Brito ↑,
70', Barea J. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
76', Manzinga C. ↓, Marou S. ↑,
88', Yaro J. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
90', Jaime C. ↓, Riascos K. ↑,

Preview

Boise is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Charlotte Ind is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Boise may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Boise is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boise won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Charlotte Independ. ✔	29	18	6	5	67:42	25	60
5	Boise ✔	29	14	7	8	45:39	6	49

Last Results with these Odds

Charlotte Independence - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 28.87%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Boise
USL League One
11.09.26	Boise - New York Cosmos	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Naples - Boise	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Boise	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	One Knoxville - Boise	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Boise - Forward Madison	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWTW
- Charlotte Independence
USL League One
12.09.26	Charlotte Independence - Westchester SC	5:4 ✺
05.09.26	Union Omaha - Charlotte Independence	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Charlotte Independence - Portland Hearts of Pine	3:2 ✺
28.08.26	Charlotte Independence - AV Alta	5:0 ✺
22.08.26	Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
06.05.26	Charlotte Independence - Boise	1:0

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