Match Info

USL League One

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: American Legion Memorial Stadium (Charlotte, NC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Charlotte Independence		AV Alta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.60	5.00
	1.44	4.40	5.10
	1.47	4.86	5.27
	1.46	4.93	5.56	Watch
	1.43	4.70	5.55
	1.54	4.45	5.13	Watch
	1.42	4.50	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.58)	4.63 ↑ (4.1)	5.23 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte Independence
62.8%

Draw
19.7%

AV Alta
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charlotte Independence's performance.

AV Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (+3%)

Charlotte Independence - AV Alta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Levy M. (G) 17. Dimick C. (C) 4. Coulibaly S. 22. Riascos K. 3. Skinner J. 24. Amaya J. 14. Manin R. 10. Bakero J. 8. Jaime C. 11. Ortiz V. 26. Marou S.	22. Smith D. (G) 2. Ortiz C. 4. Pajaro M. 44. Pehlivanov K. 16. Ceja E. 6. Lay O. 10. Ibarra M. (C) 24. Higareda S. 99. Bahena Jr C. 3. Ortiz A. 9. Acuna J.
Substitutes
6. Fuchs J. 16. Lyons M. 9. Manzinga C. 19. Martinez E. 21. Nare T. 5. Romero J. 29. Stefano Pinho 1. Tasouris G. (G)	5. Alassane M. 19. Anderson C. 20. Antwi G. 30. Gonzalez M. (G) 52. Ramos S. 23. Thomas R. 15. Winum M.
Coaches
Jeffries M.	Kleiban B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Bakero J. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Marou S. ⚽, Bakero J. (A),
23', Kleiban B. 🟨,
34', Manin R. 🟨,
45', 3 - 0, Manin R. ⚽, Bakero J. (A),
45+2', Pehlivanov K. 🟨,
45+3', 4 - 0, Bakero J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ceja E. ↓, Ramos S. ↑,
46', Higareda S. ↓, Antwi G. ↑,
46', Ibarra M. ↓, Thomas R. ↑,
47', Skinner J. 🟨,
53', Pehlivanov K. ↓, Winum M. ↑,
63', Manin R. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
63', Skinner J. ↓, Romero J. ↑,
71', Ortiz V. ↓, Manzinga C. ↑,
71', Marou S. ↓, Stefano Pinho ↑,
72', Ortiz A. ↓, Anderson C. ↑,
79', Antwi G. 🟨,
81', 5 - 0, Martinez E. ⚽, Bakero J. (A),
82', Amaya J. ↓, Fuchs J. ↑,

Preview

Charlotte Ind is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alta's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Charlotte Ind has had a series of home games.

In this match, Charlotte Ind is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Charlotte Ind won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Charlotte Independ. ✔	29	18	6	5	67:42	25	60
13	AV Alta	29	8	8	13	35:42	-7	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte Independence
USL League One
22.08.26	Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Charlotte Independence - Sarasota Paradise	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
12.08.26	Charlotte Independence - Hartford Athletic	2:4 ✺
USL League One
08.08.26	Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Charlotte Independence - One Knoxville	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLWW
- AV Alta FC
USL League One
22.08.26	AV Alta - Naples	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	New York Cosmos - AV Alta	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	AV Alta - Fort Wayne	3:0 ✺
05.08.26	Naples - AV Alta	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Richmond Kickers - AV Alta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
05.07.26	AV Alta - Charlotte Independence	1:1
10.10.25	Charlotte Independence - AV Alta	3:2
24.05.25	AV Alta - Charlotte Independence	2:1

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