Match Info

USL League One

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Athletic Club Boise Soccer Stadium (Expo Idaho) (Boise, ID)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Boise		Greenville Triumph

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.40	4.33	6.00
	1.47	4.10	5.20
	1.46	4.53	6.79
	1.48	4.66	5.5	Watch
	1.44	4.05	6.75
	1.50	4.51	5.47	Watch
	1.38	4.60	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.62)	4.4 ↑ (3.75)	5.9 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boise
63.5%

Draw
20.9%

Greenville Triumph
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

23.9%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

22.2%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boise's performance.

Greenville Triumph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Greenville Triumph might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boise than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Boise - Greenville Triumph Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Kliewer J. (G) 15. Yaro J. 25. Dengler J. 16. Crull J. 2. Ricketts J. 10. Kostyshyn D. 66. Mayaka P. 6. Adams C. (C) 14. Moon N. 36. Barea J. 11. Moshobane T.	30. Torman S. (G) 4. Sims T. 5. Fricke B. (C) 6. Agyaakwah I. 22. Fritz K. 27. Nour M. 8. Herrera C. 18. Evans C. 20. Villanueva A. 17. Larsen B. 9. Robles R.
Substitutes
22. Amang T. 1. Andema J. (G) 17. Hanson J. 9. Luan Brito 5. Ndiaye M. 3. Oyler K. 23. Yehya O.	1. Bilichuk R. (G) 7. Boyce D. 42. Bubb Z. 25. Castro L. 12. Lee E. 15. Patti A. 23. White E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Yaro J. ⚽, Barea J. (A),
20', MIller N. 🟨,
21', MIller N. 🟨,
31', Adams C. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
34', Robles R. 🟨,
45+6', Barea J. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fritz K. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
55', Kliewer J. 🟨,
56', Sims T. ↓, Boyce D. ↑,
65', Moshobane T. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
67', Ricketts J. 🟨,
69', Nour M. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
78', Evans C. ↓, White E. ↑,
78', Agyaakwah I. ↓, Bubb Z. ↑,
83', Kostyshyn D. (Penalty Awarded),
90', Moon N. ↓, Oyler K. ↑,
90+2', Herrera C. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 6th in the Promotion - USL League One Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 16th).

In recent outings, Boise has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Greenville is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Boise carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Boise has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Boise ✔	29	14	7	8	45:39	6	49
16	Greenville	28	6	5	17	30:52	-22	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Boise
USL League One
26.09.26	Corpus Christi - Boise	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Spokane Velocity - Boise	2:2 ✺
16.09.26	Boise - Charlotte Independence	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Boise - New York Cosmos	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Naples - Boise	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTTWW
- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
26.09.26	Greenville Triumph - Union Omaha	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Sarasota Paradise - Greenville Triumph	6:0 ✺
16.09.26	Greenville Triumph - Corpus Christi	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Greenville Triumph - Fort Wayne	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
29.07.26	Greenville Triumph - Boise	3:2

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