Match Info

USL League One

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Paladin Stadium (Greenville, SC)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Greenville Triumph		Fort Wayne

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.30	2.80
	2.15	3.3	2.85
	2.18	3.45	2.94
	2.23	3.55	2.95	Watch
	2.13	3.3	2.85
	2.16	3.38	2.92	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 (2.16)	3.37 ↑ (3.3)	2.87 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greenville Triumph
41.7%

Draw
26.8%

Fort Wayne
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

27.1%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

26.1%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Fort Wayne have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fort Wayne than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Greenville Triumph - Fort Wayne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Knight A. (G) 20. Villanueva A. 42. Bubb Z. 5. Fricke B. (C) 15. Patti A. 6. Agyaakwah I. 7. Boyce D. 18. Evans C. 8. Herrera C. 27. Nour M. 19. Liadi A.	1. Schipmann B. (G) 17. Neidlinger L. 4. Dias T. (C) 41. Musa J. 13. Rempel M. 18. Nieto E. 6. Jordan J. 12. Gafar K. 11. Healy T. 10. Awoudor C. 21. Becher R.
Substitutes
22. Fritz K. 17. Larsen B. 12. Lee E. 3. Polak T. 9. Robles R. 4. Sims T. 30. Torman S. (G)	96. Echevarria A. (G) 8. Garay J. 25. Jiana M. 24. Lacey K. 9. Oyetunde D. 2. Smith J. 19. Solis J.
Coaches
Tyson J.	Avery M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Evans C. (Own goal),
15', Agyaakwah I. 🟨,
29', Nieto E. 🟨,
33', Neidlinger L. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Fricke B. ⚽, Liadi A. (A),
41', Liadi A. 🟨,
42', 1 - 2, Becher R. ⚽, Gafar K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Villanueva A. 🟨,
58', 1 - 3, Becher R. ⚽, Healy T. (A),
60', Liadi A. ↓, Larsen B. ↑,
66', Dias T. 🟨,
66', Boyce D. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Nour M. 🟨,
78', Nieto E. ↓, Garay J. ↑,
78', Awoudor C. ↓, Jiana M. ↑,
79', Agyaakwah I. ↓, Sims T. ↑,
85', Becher R. ↓, Lacey K. ↑,
85', Boyce D. ↓, Robles R. ↑,
88', Gafar K. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
89', Neidlinger L. ↓, Solis J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Greenville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Greenville could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Greenville won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Fort Wayne	29	11	9	9	45:37	8	42
16	Greenville	28	6	5	17	30:52	-22	23

Last Results with these Odds

Greenville Triumph - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 41.45%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
05.09.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Greenville Triumph - Naples	4:0 ✺
22.08.26	Spokane Velocity - Greenville Triumph	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Greenville Triumph - One Knoxville	1:1 ✺
12.08.26	Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLTT
- Fort Wayne FC
USL League One
05.09.26	Fort Wayne - New York Cosmos	2:4 ✺
02.09.26	Fort Wayne - Richmond Kickers	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Portland Hearts of Pine - Fort Wayne	1:4 ✺
15.08.26	Fort Wayne - Chattanooga Red Wolves	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	AV Alta - Fort Wayne	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
18.07.26	Fort Wayne - Greenville Triumph	3:0

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