Match Info

USL League One

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: One Spokane Stadium (Spokane, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Spokane Velocity		Boise

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.50	3.20	2.40
	2.38	3.20	2.63
	2.71	3.33	2.54
	2.41	3.51	2.71	Watch
	2.35	3.40	2.65
	2.57	3.10	2.44	Watch
	2.50	3.15	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.2)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)	2.55 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spokane Velocity
36.5%

Draw
27.8%

Boise
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

28%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

28.8%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spokane Velocity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Boise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spokane Velocity than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spokane Velocity, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boise than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boise, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Spokane Velocity - Boise Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lewis S. (G) 13. Opara L. 3. Spielman N. 12. Miller C. 18. Waldeck D. 19. Denton J. 6. Fernandez C. 11. John-Brown S. 10. Gil L. (C) 33. Mensah M. 16. Pelaez A.	18. Kliewer J. (G) 15. Yaro J. 25. Dengler J. (C) 16. Crull J. 17. Hanson J. 8. Gasso D. 66. Mayaka P. 14. Moon N. 36. Barea J. 10. Kostyshyn D. 11. Moshobane T.
Substitutes
24. Donovan N. 4. Fitch S. 14. Hernandez M. 77. Lewis A. 5. Margvelashvili G. 23. Merancio C. (G) 8. Vinyals N.	22. Amang T. 1. Andema J. (G) 9. Luan Brito 5. Ndiaye M. 3. Oyler K. 2. Ricketts J. 23. Yehya O.
Coaches
Veidman L.	MIller N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Barea J. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', 0 - 2, Barea J. ⚽, Gasso D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Hanson J. ↓, Ricketts J. ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Gil L. ⚽, Opara L. (A),
50', 2 - 2, Waldeck D. ⚽, Denton J. (A),
62', Opara L. 🟨,
63', Moshobane T. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
68', Crull J. 🟨,
70', Pelaez A. ↓, Donovan N. ↑,
70', Gil L. ↓, Vinyals N. ↑,
75', Denton J. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
76', Opara L. ↓, Fitch S. ↑,
82', Barea J. ↓, Yehya O. ↑,
84', Waldeck D. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
88', Spielman N. 🟨,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 7th in the Promotion ~ USL League One PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 5th in the Promotion ~ USL League One PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

In recent outings, Spokane has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Boise is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Spokane could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Spokane has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Spokane against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Boise ✔	29	14	7	8	45:39	6	49
6	Spokane Velocity	27	14	5	8	41:36	5	47

Last Results with these Odds

Spokane Velocity - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.66%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spokane Velocity
USL League One
16.09.26	Union Omaha - Spokane Velocity	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Sarasota Paradise - Spokane Velocity	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Westchester SC - Spokane Velocity	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Spokane Velocity - Greenville Triumph	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Spokane Velocity - Corpus Christi	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWWL
- Athletic Boise
USL League One
16.09.26	Boise - Charlotte Independence	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Boise - New York Cosmos	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Naples - Boise	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Boise	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	One Knoxville - Boise	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

USL Cup
06.06.26	Spokane Velocity - Boise	2:1
USL League One
04.04.26	Boise - Spokane Velocity	1:1

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