Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sacramento Republic		Rhode Island

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.10	3.10
	2.23	2.95	3.05
	2.20	3.30	3.54
	2.14	3.22	3.42	Watch
	2.12	3.15	3.45
	2.09	3.10	3.35	Watch
	2.08	3.15	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.45)	3.14 ↑ (2.95)	3.32 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento Republic
43.1%

Draw
29.2%

Rhode Island
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30.5%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

31.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sacramento Republic's performance.

Rhode Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Sacramento Republic - Rhode Island Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sacramento Republic will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Rhode Island will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitiello D. (C) 2. Gurr J. 5. Timmer J. 4. Desmond L. 3. Spaulding R. 10. Rodriguez A. 18. Kaye M. 24. Casas J. 8. Rodriguez M. 7. Malango M. 71. Edwards K.	1. Koke Vegas (C) 22. Scardina N. 24. Yao K. 5. Stoneman G. 15. Nodarse F. 11. Fuson N. 4. Bacharach Capdevila H. 77. Shapiro-Thompson A. 3. Sanchez A. 8. Leo Afonso 9. Williams J.
Substitutes
11. Ajago F. 42. Chivukula R. 27. Crisostomo D. 15. Essel A. 31. Randolph J. (G) 55. Ukaegbu C. 17. Wanner D. 20. Willey B. 16. Wolff T.	7. Atkinson D. 29. Castro J. (G) 17. Kwizera J. 10. Rodriguez A. 2. Rovira D. 19. Vang K. 25. Williams C.
Coaches
Collins N.	Smith K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Edwards K. ⚽, Kaye M. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Bacharach Capdevila H. ⚽, Shapiro-Thompson A. (A),
26', Spaulding R. 🟨,
44', 2 - 1, Malango M. ⚽, Kaye M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Sanchez A. 🟨,
58', Sanchez A. ↓, Kwizera J. ↑,
58', Scardina N. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
66', Edwards K. ↓, Ajago F. ↑,
74', Casas J. ↓, Crisostomo D. ↑,
74', Fuson N. ↓, Atkinson D. ↑,
74', Malango M. ↓, Wolff T. ↑,
81', Rodriguez A. ↓, Willey B. ↑,
82', Shapiro-Thompson A. ↓, Vang K. ↑,
82', Leo Afonso ↓, Rovira D. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 9)

In recent matches, Sacramento Republic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rhode Island is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sacramento Republic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sacramento Republic could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Sacramento Republic - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.75%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Rhode Island - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.74%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento Republic FC
USL Championship
20.06.26	Sacramento Republic - New Mexico United	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Sacramento Republic	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay	2:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	San Antonio - Sacramento Republic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLL
- Rhode Island FC
USL Championship
04.07.26	Rhode Island - Orange County SC	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Loudoun United - Rhode Island	1:4 ✺
USL Cup
06.06.26	Rhode Island - Westchester SC	3:0 ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	Indy Eleven - Rhode Island	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Rhode Island - Brooklyn	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Cup
10.09.25	Rhode Island - Sacramento Republic	0:1 penalties
USL Championship
21.06.25	Rhode Island - Sacramento Republic	0:2
11.05.24	Rhode Island - Sacramento Republic	2:2

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