The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sacramento Republic 57.9%
Draw 25%
Monterey Bay 17.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.1%
27.5%
19.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.9%
26.6%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vitiello D. (G) 2. Gurr J. 5. Timmer J. 4. Desmond L. (C) 22. Benitez M. 18. Kaye M. 27. Crisostomo D. 16. Wolff T. 8. Rodriguez M. 17. Wanner D. 71. Edwards K.
1. Delgado F. (C) 6. Malesevic L. 25. Egwu K. 32. Farnsworth Z. 3. Ritchie S. 8. Lomtadze G. 18. Belmar J. 88. Lletget S. 4. Ross N. 19. Nadje C. 9. Bidois R.
Substitutes
11. Ajago F. 24. Casas J. 7. Malango M. 99. Moya J. (G) 13. Reedy P. 10. Rodriguez A. 3. Spaulding R. 55. Ukaegbu C. 20. Willey B.
23. Blancas E. 33. Carbajal D. 17. Glasgow O. 98. Jackson J. (G) 11. Leggett W. 14. Nakamura R. 20. Paul I. 7. Rebollar A. 30. Villasana A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Egwu K. 🟨,
30', Timmer J. 🟥,
37', Edwards K. ↓, Ukaegbu C. ↑,
45+2', Wolff T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rodriguez M. ↓, Willey B. ↑,
46', Ross N. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
46', Malesevic L. ↓, Glasgow O. ↑,
46', Lomtadze G. ↓, Blancas E. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Bidois R. ⚽,
58', Ritchie S. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Benitez M. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Lletget S. ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
62', Bidois R. ↓, Paul I. ↑,
67', Crisostomo D. ↓, Malango M. ↑,
67', Wanner D. ↓, Spaulding R. ↑,
80', Wolff T. ↓, Reedy P. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, Kaye M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Blancas E. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Benitez M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Paul I. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Desmond L. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Glasgow O. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Malango M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Leggett W. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Spaulding R. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Sacramento Republic is the team to beat.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sacramento Republic won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento Republic won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
Watch
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Vitiello D. (G) 
Gurr J. 
Desmond L. (C) 
Benitez M. 
Kaye M. 
Wanner D. 
Edwards K. 
Malesevic L. 
Lomtadze G. 
Belmar J. 
Ross N. 
Nadje C. 
Bidois R. 
Ajago F. 
Casas J. 
Malango M. 
Glasgow O. 
Nakamura R. 
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