The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Phoenix Rising 31.6%
Draw 29.7%
Sacramento Republic 38.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
30.3%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.8%
30%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Sacramento Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
80%
0%
Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Phoenix Rising will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rakovsky P. (G) 2. Smith C. 4. Mar Boye P. (C) 17. JP Scearce 20. Biasi L. 37. Rivera G. 13. Moursou J. 7. Sacko I. 8. Gomez D. 10. Avayevu H. 11. Studenhofft G.
1. Vitiello D. (G) 2. Gurr J. 15. Essel A. 4. Desmond L. (C) 22. Benitez M. 18. Kaye M. 27. Crisostomo D. 16. Wolff T. 10. Rodriguez A. 7. Malango M. 11. Ajago F.
Substitutes
47. Cross N. 12. Dennis C. 87. Flores D. 33. Gaydon J. 14. Odunze C. (G) 44. Ping J. 19. Rivera D. 6. Vukovic A.
24. Casas J. 71. Edwards K. 99. Moya J. (G) 8. Rodriguez M. 3. Spaulding R. 5. Timmer J. 55. Ukaegbu C. 17. Wanner D.
Coaches
Kah P.
Collins N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Sacko I. (Penalty Awarded),
39', Sacko I. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Sacko I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Desmond L. ↓, Timmer J. ↑,
46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
47', Biasi L. 🟨,
57', Essel A. ↓, Ukaegbu C. ↑,
62', Gomez D. ↓, Dennis C. ↑,
62', Studenhofft G. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
67', Kaye M. ↓, Casas J. ↑,
72', Rivera G. ↓, Vukovic A. ↑,
72', Avayevu H. ↓, Flores D. ↑,
78', Crisostomo D. ↓, Wanner D. ↑,
79', JP Scearce 🟨,
86', Vukovic A. 🟨,
90', Sacko I. ↓, Ping J. ↑,
90+1', Rivera D. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 0.
Recent performances by Phoenix Rising have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sacramento Republic is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 0.9:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Sacramento Republic - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.53%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.