Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz)

Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
South-america	ESPN 5 South
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Disney+


	Bolívar		Sporting Cristal

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.25	9	Watch
	1.27	6	9
	1.24	5.95	11	Watch
	1.27	6.06	10.19	Watch
	1.25	5.8	9	Watch
	1.28	6.36	8.81	Watch
	1.24	5.95	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.29)	6.05 ↑ (5.93)	9.71 ↑ (8.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolívar
74.9%

Draw
15.5%

Sporting Cristal
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.5%

15.9%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Bolívar - Sporting Cristal Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bolívar will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolívar: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Sporting Cristal (3.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Lanzillotta F. (G) 22. Rocha Y. 2. Sagredo J. 4. Sagredo J. 6. Vaca Moreno E. 14. Robson Matheus 23. Justiniano L. 11. Vaca R. 80. Melgar C. A. 90. Fabio Gomes 17. Pato Rodriguez	1. Enriquez D. (G) 8. Sosa L. 21. Romero F. 4. Chavez G. 5. Lutiger R. 7. Gonzalez S. 6. Pretell J. 10. Gonzales C. 25. Tavara M. 23. Castro M. 11. Avila I.
Substitutes
20. Ayhuana A. 34. Mamani Y. 28. Mendez B. 25. Mendez D. (G) 8. Paz L. 5. Quinteros J. 32. Ramirez R. 35. Rivero E. 77. Romero D. 26. Saavedra E. 21. Velasquez J. 29. Velasquez J.	30. Alarcon J. 3. Alcedo F. 77. Cabellos C. 39. Caparo H. 14. Diaz L. 15. Lora J. 28. Pasquini N. 12. Solis R. (G) 22. Sosa M. 26. Wisdom I.
Coaches
Robatto F.	Farre G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', Avila I. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Fabio Gomes (Pen),
30', Lutiger R. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Vaca R. ⚽, Pato Rodriguez (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 3 - 0, Vaca R. ⚽, Robson Matheus (A),
59', Pretell J. ↓, Lora J. ↑,
59', Gonzales C. ↓, Cabellos C. ↑,
63', Melgar C. A. 🟨,
65', Sagredo J. 🟨,
70', Robson Matheus ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
71', Pato Rodriguez ↓, Romero D. ↑,
80', Vaca Moreno E. ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
84', Avila I. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,
84', Castro M. ↓, Sosa M. ↑,
89', Vaca R. ↓, Paz L. ↑,
90+3', Cabellos C. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Bolívar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sporting Cristal is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sporting Cristal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bolívar is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Bolívar: Bruno Savio (Red Card)

There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Yotun Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bolívar: Torren M. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
05.04.25	Real Tomayapo - Bolívar	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.04.25	Cerro Porteño - Bolívar	4:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
28.03.25	Bolívar - Real Oruro	3:1 ✺
Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
16.03.25	Bolívar - Blooming	5:0 ✺
13.03.25	Blooming - Bolívar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWWL
- Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1
06.04.25	Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal	4:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.04.25	Sporting Cristal - Palmeiras	2:3 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
29.03.25	Sporting Cristal - Escuela Municipal Binacional	5:0 ✺
08.03.25	FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL

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