Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 1 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas (Asunción)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Colombia	ESPN
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	ESPN
South-america	ESPN South
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
World	Disney+


	Cerro Porteño		Bolívar

	1	X	2
	1.67	4	5	Watch
	1.65	4	4.6
	1.65	4	4.75	Watch
	1.67	4.06	4.92	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4.8	Watch
	1.69	3.99	4.79	Watch
	1.65	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.64)	3.99 ↓ (4.07)	4.8 ↓ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cerro Porteño
56.8%

Draw
23.6%

Bolívar
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

23.1%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

22.2%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	5%	25%

Cerro Porteño - Bolívar Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Bolívar will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerro Porteño: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Fernandez R. (C) 2. Benitez A. 23. Velazquez G. 5. Morel J. 13. Benitez A. G. 17. Aguayo G. 26. Piris R. 30. Gimenez G. 8. Carrizo F. 18. Valdez B. 27. Torres J.	33. Lanzillotta F. (G) 2. Sagredo J. 3. Torren M. 4. Sagredo J. 14. Robson Matheus 22. Rocha Y. 11. Vaca R. 80. Melgar C. A. 17. Pato Rodriguez 23. Justiniano L. (C) 90. Fabio Gomes
Substitutes
21. Araujo S. 29. Avalos A. 43. Eliseche N. 28. Farina A. 38. Favero C. 33. Gomez R. 37. Leon D. 1. Martin A. (G) 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 22. Rodriguez D. 7. Sonora A. 20. Viera W.	10. Bruno Savio 28. Mendez B. 25. Mendez D. (G) 8. Paz L. 5. Quinteros J. 32. Ramirez R. 35. Rivero E. 77. Romero D. 26. Saavedra E. 27. Vaca H. 6. Vaca Moreno E. 21. Velasquez J.
Coaches
Martinez D.	Robatto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Vaca R. ⚽,
22', Torren M. ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
32', Justiniano L. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 1, Torres J. ⚽, Benitez A. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Valdez B. ↓, Araujo S. ↑,
47', 2 - 1, Torres J. ⚽, Piris R. (A),
58', Melgar C. A. ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
61', 3 - 1, Torres J. ⚽, Aguayo G. (A),
66', Sagredo J. 🟨,
72', 4 - 1, Morel J. ⚽, Velazquez G. (A),
73', Robson Matheus ↓, Vaca Moreno E. ↑,
73', Pato Rodriguez ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
76', Carrizo F. ↓, Viera W. ↑,
80', Torres J. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
80', Aguayo G. ↓, Quintana Rodriguez L. A. ↑,
81', Gimenez G. ↓, Sonora A. ↑,
84', Bruno Savio 🟥,
89', 4 - 2, Vaca R. ⚽,
90+4', Benitez A. 🟨,

Preview

Cerro Porteño in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bolívar is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bolívar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cerro Porteño is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Cerro Porteño to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:6 (average 0:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Cerro Porteño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

Last Results with these Odds

Cerro Porteño - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 57.33%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.03.25	Cerro Porteño - Atlético Tembetary	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	2 de Mayo - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Ameliano	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.03.25	Cerro Porteño - FBC Melgar	4:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
09.03.25	General Caballero JLM - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWWW
- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
28.03.25	Bolívar - Real Oruro	3:1 ✺
Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
16.03.25	Bolívar - Blooming	5:0 ✺
13.03.25	Blooming - Bolívar	2:1 ✺
10.03.25	Bolívar - Universitario de Vinto	3:2 ✺
07.03.25	Universitario de Vinto - Bolívar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
06.06.23	Bolívar - Cerro Porteño	2:0
03.05.23	Cerro Porteño - Bolívar	0:4

Upcoming Matches