Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin (UNSA) (Arequipa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	FBC Melgar		Sporting Cristal

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.60	4.10
	1.7	3.85	4.35	Watch
	1.7	3.88	4.56
	1.68	3.99	4.53	Watch
	1.63	3.8	4.4
	1.67	3.84	4.67	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.78)	3.77 ↑ (3.65)	4.47 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FBC Melgar
54.9%

Draw
24.5%

Sporting Cristal
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

25.6%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Cabezudo J. (G) 33. Lazo M. 23. Escobar J. 3. Gonzalez L. 27. Cabanillas N. 24. Tandazo W. 25. Minda K. 7. Bordacahar C. 10. Quagliata N. 11. Vidales J. 9. Cuesta B. (C)	1. Enriquez D. (G) 18. Gonzalez J. 20. Araujo M. 96. Abram L. 90. Cristiano 21. Cabellos C. 25. Tavara M. 19. Yotun Y. (C) 16. Iberico L. 22. Hoyos M. 23. Castro M.
Substitutes
12. Caceda C. (G) 16. Caceres J. 80. D'Arrigo J. 5. Deneumostier A. 8. Guzman L. 90. Jesus Alcantar 26. Portillo M. 77. Zanelatto F. 45. Zegarra M.	11. Avila I. 2. Ballumbrosio D. 29. Barcos H. 33. Bautista C. (G) 32. Diaz L. 27. Gabriel 7. Gonzalez S. 5. Lutiger R. 26. Wisdom I.
Coaches
Rondelli M.	Mosquera R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Quagliata N. ⚽,
29', Minda K. 🟨,
39', Cabellos C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cabellos C. ↓, Wisdom I. ↑,
46', Iberico L. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
46', Gonzalez J. ↓, Lutiger R. ↑,
61', Lutiger R. 🟨,
62', 2 - 0, Vidales J. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Hoyos M. ↓, Avila I. ↑,
65', Tavara M. ↓, Barcos H. ↑,
72', Bordacahar C. ↓, Caceres J. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Avila I. ⚽, Castro M. (A),
77', Vidales J. ↓, Zegarra M. ↑,
87', Quagliata N. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
87', Cabanillas N. ↓, Portillo M. ↑,
89', Yotun Y. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 4.

Sporting Cristal is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Melgar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sporting Cristal has had a series of home games.

In this match, Melgar is the team to beat.

There will not play in Melgar: Orzan H. (Injury)

There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Gonzales C. (Knee Injury) Solis R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sporting Cristal	10	6	1	3	20:10	10	19
6	FBC Melgar	11	5	4	2	18:11	7	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
17.07.26	Cienciano - FBC Melgar	1:3 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
29.06.26	FBC Melgar - Moquegua	0:0 ✺
12.06.26	Bentín Tacna Heroica - FBC Melgar	3:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
31.05.26	FBC Melgar - Alianza Atlético	3:1 ✺
22.05.26	Juan Pablo II College - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLWT
- Sporting Cristal
Copa Sudamericana
22.07.26	Sporting Cristal - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
17.07.26	Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
11.07.26	Sporting Cristal - Bentín Tacna Heroica	2:1 penalties ✺
27.06.26	Sporting Cristal - Unión Comercio	2:0 ✺
21.06.26	Estudiantil CNI - Sporting Cristal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
08.02.26	Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar	1:2
10.08.25	Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar	1:0
08.03.25	FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal	1:0
21.08.24	FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal	2:0
13.03.24	Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar	1:2
23.07.23	FBC Melgar - Sporting Cristal	1:1
17.02.23	Sporting Cristal - FBC Melgar	1:0

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