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Current Win Probability
Bolton Wanderers 63.1%
Draw 21.6%
Cambridge United 15.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.6%
21.9%
15.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.1%
17.5%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
0%
11.1%
Bolton Wanderers - Cambridge United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Bolton Wanderers will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Southwood L. (G) 2. Jones G. 5. Santos R. 6. Johnston G. 12. Dacres-Cogley J. 16. Morley A. 4. Thomason G. (C) 23. Schon S. 31. Randall J. 19. Collins A. 45. McAtee J.
27. Marosi M. (G) 16. Ibsen Rossi Z. 6. Watts K. 3. Andrew D. 2. Bennett L. 24. Cousins J. 36. Barton D. 7. Brophy J. 10. Kachunga E. 22. Stokes J. 18. Loft R.
Substitutes
9. Adeboyejo V. 1. Baxter N. (G) 15. Forrester W. 17. Lolos K. 28. Matete J. 14. Osei-Tutu J. 8. Sheehan J.
45. Emmanuel M. L. 38. Hoddle G. 39. Holmes P. 30. McConnell G. 40. Munday G. 34. Njoku B. 1. Stevens J. (G)
Coaches
Evatt I.
Monk G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Stokes J. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, McAtee J. ⚽, Schon S. (A),
35', Collins A. 🟨,
36', 1 - 2, Kachunga E. ⚽,
40', Kachunga E. 🟨,
43', McAtee J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Santos R. ↓, Forrester W. ↑,
59', Dacres-Cogley J. ↓, Osei-Tutu J. ↑,
65', Loft R. ↓, Njoku B. ↑,
68', Andrew D. 🟨,
70', Randall J. ↓, Lolos K. ↑,
70', McAtee J. ↓, Adeboyejo V. ↑,
75', Jones G. ↓, Sheehan J. ↑,
77', Sheehan J. 🟨,
78', Kachunga E. ↓, Emmanuel M. L. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Ibsen Rossi Z. (Own goal),
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2.
Recent matches Bolton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Cambridge has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Bolton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Bolton have a series of guest games.
In this match Bolton is indisputable favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Bolton won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:6 (average 1.2:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.8:0.5).
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Southwood L. (G) 
Jones G. 
Santos R. 
Johnston G. 
Dacres-Cogley J. 
Schon S. 
Collins A. 
Marosi M. (G) 
Cousins J. 
Kachunga E. 
Adeboyejo V. 
Lolos K. 
McConnell G. 
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