The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cambridge United 34.3%
Draw 28.4%
Reading 37.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.8%
27.6%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
28%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambridge United's form might have worsened.
Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reading's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambridge United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reading, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Cambridge United - Reading Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Eastwood J. (G) 2. Bennett L. 15. Heffernan C. 6. Watts K. 3. Perry C. 4. Ball D. (C) 10. Knight B. 8. Moxon O. 11. Kaikai S. 14. Ahadme G. 44. Bangura-Williams R.
1. Pereira J. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. 15. O'Connor P. 16. Ward B. 5. Roberts H. 10. Wing L. (C) 4. Rinomhota A. 19. Lisbie K. 17. Earthy G. 32. Lane P. 7. Marriott J.
Substitutes
9. Appere L. 22. Bradshaw Z. 29. Curtis S. 13. Gabe Breeze (G) 7. Heath I. 19. Lavery S. 17. Mpanzu P.
18. Brown J. 11. Kyerewaa D. 23. Masterson C. 9. Reid J. 8. Savage C. 25. Stevens J. (G) 14. Williams R.
Coaches
Harris N.
Richardson L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Marriott J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bangura-Williams R. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
46', Moxon O. ↓, Mpanzu P. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Bennett L. ⚽, Perry C. (A),
62', 2 - 1, Watts K. ⚽, Mpanzu P. (A),
66', Ahadme G. 🟨,
72', Lisbie K. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
72', Marriott J. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
78', Roberts H. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
78', Rinomhota A. ↓, Savage C. ↑,
80', Perry C. 🟨,
85', Ahadme G. ↓, Curtis S. ↑,
85', Perry C. ↓, Bradshaw Z. ↑,
90', Williams R. 🟨,
90+2', Knight B. ↓, Appere L. ↑,
Preview
Cambridge has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Reading is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Cambridge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Cambridge: Bauer P.
(Inactive)
Hoddle G.
(Inactive)
McLoughlin S.
(Inactive)
Stead C.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Reading: Patton S.
(Inactive)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.5:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Cambridge Utd
9
4
4
1
14:11
3
16
6
Reading
9
4
3
2
22:11
11
15
Outrights of English League One for now
Reading: 8.08% Cambridge Utd: 3.31%
Last Results with these Odds
Cambridge United - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.8%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Reading - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.56%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
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Eastwood J. (G) 
Heffernan C. 
Kaikai S. 
Ahadme G. 
Pereira J. (G) 
Rinomhota A. 
Lane P. 
Appere L. 
Mpanzu P. 
Kyerewaa D. 
Savage C. 
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