Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 22

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Charlton Athletic		Cambridge United

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	5.75	Watch
	1.58	3.9	5.75
	1.57	4	6	Watch
	1.58	3.98	6.24
	1.57	3.84	5.9	Watch
	1.6	3.8	6
	1.59	3.95	5.9	Watch
	1.57	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.61)	3.93 ↑ (3.83)	5.94 ↑ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
60%

Draw
24.1%

Cambridge United
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

24.3%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

22.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charlton Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Charlton Athletic - Cambridge United Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Cambridge will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charlton: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 4. Mitchell A. 5. Jones L. 3. Gillesphey M. 16. Edwards J. 6. Coventry C. 10. Docherty G. (C) 7. Campbell T. 8. Berry L. 26. Small T. 11. Leaburn M.	27. Reyes V. (G) 15. Okedina J. 5. Morrison M. 6. Watts K. (C) 16. Ibsen Rossi Z. 24. Cousins J. 14. Smith K. 7. Brophy J. 10. Kachunga E. 22. Stokes J. 11. Kaikai S.
Substitutes
9. Ahadme G. 18. Anderson K. 28. Campbell A. 23. Edmonds-Green R. 24. Godden M. 14. Hylton D. 25. Mannion W. (G)	3. Andrew D. 2. Bennett L. 45. Emmanuel M. L. 18. Loft R. 34. Njoku B. 9. N'Lundulu D. 1. Stevens J. (G)
Coaches
Jones N.	Monk G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Campbell T. ⚽, Leaburn M. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Leaburn M. ⚽, Gillesphey M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Watts K. ↓, Andrew D. ↑,
46', Ibsen Rossi Z. ↓, Bennett L. ↑,
51', 2 - 1, Kachunga E. ⚽, Bennett L. (A),
64', Brophy J. 🟨,
67', Stokes J. ↓, N'Lundulu D. ↑,
73', Morrison M. 🟨,
85', Kachunga E. ↓, Loft R. ↑,
89', Leaburn M. ↓, Ahadme G. ↑,
90', Campbell T. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
90+4', Berry L. ↓, Edmonds-Green R. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Charlton won 2.

Recent matches Charlton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cambridge is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Charlton is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Charlton won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:6 (average 1.7:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Charlton won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League One
21.12.24	Northampton Town - Charlton Athletic	0:5 ✺
14.12.24	Charlton Athletic - Mansfield Town	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Charlton Athletic - Leyton Orient	0:2 ✺
English League One
07.12.24	Lincoln City - Charlton Athletic	0:0 ✺
03.12.24	Charlton Athletic - Crawley Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLTL
- Cambridge United
English League One
20.12.24	Cambridge United - Huddersfield Town	0:4 ✺
14.12.24	Wrexham - Cambridge United	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Cheltenham Town - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
English League One
07.12.24	Cambridge United - Shrewsbury Town	4:1 ✺
03.12.24	Reading - Cambridge United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
17.09.24	Cambridge United - Charlton Athletic	1:2
English League One
13.04.24	Cambridge United - Charlton Athletic	1:1
09.12.23	Charlton Athletic - Cambridge United	2:2
18.03.23	Cambridge United - Charlton Athletic	1:2
20.08.22	Charlton Athletic - Cambridge United	1:1
19.04.22	Cambridge United - Charlton Athletic	0:2
11.12.21	Charlton Athletic - Cambridge United	2:0

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