The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lincoln City 40.6%
Draw 27.3%
Bolton Wanderers 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
28%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
26.3%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
8.3%
33.3%
Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Bolton will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 30.4% – 86.2%.
1. Wickens G. (G) 2. Darikwa T. (C) 22. Hamer T. 15. Bradley S. 3. Reach A. 24. Varfolomeev I. 14. McGrandles C. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 10. Moylan J. 17. Street R. 34. Draper F.
1. Bonham J. (G) 14. Osei-Tutu J. 18. Toal E. (C) 3. Forino-Joseph C. 6. Johnston G. 21. Erhahon E. 22. Dempsey K. 15. Apter R. 45. McAtee J. 35. Blackett-Taylor C. 10. Dalby S.
Substitutes
8. Bayliss T. 18. House B. 5. Jackson A. 16. Jefferies D. 19. Lloyd A. 20. One R. 6. Towler R.
29. Christie C. 20. Cissoko I. 23. Harrington D. (G) 9. Kenny J. 27. Rodrigues R. 8. Sheehan J. 4. Simons X.
Coaches
Skubala M.
Schumacher S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Draper F. 🟨,
22', Varfolomeev I. 🟨,
23', Erhahon E. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Moylan J. ⚽, Hackett-Fairchild R. (A),
35', Dempsey K. 🟨,
45', Dalby S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Blackett-Taylor C. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
61', Dempsey K. ↓, Sheehan J. ↑,
65', Apter R. ↓, Kenny J. ↑,
78', Moylan J. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
78', Draper F. ↓, House B. ↑,
79', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Towler R. ↑,
79', McAtee J. ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Dalby S. ⚽, Erhahon E. (A),
88', Sheehan J. 🟨,
90+3', Kenny J. 🟨,
90+4', Street R. ↓, One R. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 1.
In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
Thorn O.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Bolton: Cozier-Duberry A.
(Inactive)
Forss M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Lincoln: Jackson A.
(Surgery)
There are questionable in Bolton: Conway M.
(Inactive)
Kenny J.
(Calf Injury)
Rodrigues R.
(Inactive)
Sheehan J.
(Inactive)
Taylor R.
(Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Lincoln City - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.47%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
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Wickens G. (G) 
Darikwa T. (C) 
Varfolomeev I. 
McGrandles C. 
Hackett-Fairchild R. 
Moylan J. 
Toal E. (C) 
Jefferies D. 
Cissoko I. 
Rodrigues R. 
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