Match Info

Championship - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay
Finland	17:00	Viaplay
Iceland	14:00	Viaplay
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
Norway	16:00	Viaplay
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay
Usa	10:00	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+


	Southampton		Bolton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.50	7.00	Watch
	1.43	5.00	6.25
	1.42	4.70	6.50	Watch
	1.46	5.04	6.65
	1.44	5	6.3	Watch
	1.44	5.00	6.60
	1.48	4.57	6.77	Watch
	1.40	5.00	6.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	4.85 ↑ (4.6)	6.58 ↑ (5.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
66.1%

Draw
19.5%

Bolton Wanderers
14.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64%

20.2%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

18.8%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Southampton - Bolton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.42) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

1X2 - Southampton (1.44) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Peretz D. (G) 14. Bree J. 5. Stephens J. (C) 13. Schlotterbeck K. 34. Welington 30. Ward-Prowse J. 26. Bragg C. 10. Azaz F. 7. Scienza L. 18. Fellows T. 9. Larin C.	31. Bazunu G. (G) 27. Stephenson L. 18. Toal E. (C) 5. Brunt L. 14. Famewo A. 8. Sheehan J. 4. Simons X. 22. Larrazabal G. 17. Ito A. 11. Gale T. 10. Dalby S.
Substitutes
6. Abbott Z. 11. Dobbin L. 23. Edozie S. 8. Jander C. 25. Long G. (G) 3. Manning R. 27. Matsuki K. 28. Mubama D. 15. Wood N.	9. Bair T. 1. Bonham J. (G) 25. Conway M. 6. Davies B. 7. Dong K. 21. Erhahon E. 39. Hardie R. 16. Iling Junior S. 20. Rodrigues R.
Coaches
Eckert T.	Schumacher S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Larin C. ↓, Dobbin L. ↑,
44', Famewo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ito A. ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
46', Fellows T. ↓, Matsuki K. ↑,
59', Bragg C. 🟨,
61', Simons X. ↓, Erhahon E. ↑,
61', Gale T. ↓, Dong K. ↑,
73', Welington ↓, Manning R. ↑,
73', Bragg C. ↓, Edozie S. ↑,
73', Dalby S. ↓, Bair T. ↑,
76', Brunt L. 🟨,
83', Bair T. 🟨,
85', Matsuki K. 🟨,
87', Larrazabal G. ↓, Iling Junior S. ↑,
88', Stephenson L. 🟨,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Championship Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 14th).

S`hampton is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bolton has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bolton could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to S`hampton as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for Bolton: Forino-Joseph C. (Groin Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for S`hampton in today's match, at odds of 1.46.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Southampton	12	7	3	2	24:12	12	20
18	Bolton	12	4	2	6	16:23	-7	14

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Southampton: 12.66% Bolton: 0.65%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English League Championship
14.10.26	Norwich City - Southampton	0:1 ✺
11.10.26	Southampton - Portsmouth	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Wrexham - Southampton	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Southampton - Bristol City	4:1 ✺
08.09.26	Southampton - Swansea City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW
- Bolton Wanderers
English League Championship
13.10.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bolton Wanderers	1:3 ✺
10.10.26	Bolton Wanderers - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Norwich City - Bolton Wanderers	3:4 ✺
12.09.26	Bolton Wanderers - Cardiff City	1:0 ✺
08.09.26	Bolton Wanderers - West Ham United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 WLWWL

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